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Ursprungligen postat av Skrank
Nej? Finns snarare ingen statistik som talar för att det vore en fördel att avsluta på hemmaplan i Champions League det är nästintill helt 50-50 skulle jag gissa på.
Haha, hittade till och med en statistisk forskningsrapport om ämnet skriven vid "Institut Für statistik" Ludwig Maximilians universität i München.
Skriven 2010, författaren är nog en hängiven Bayernsupporter som sammanställde statistiken och skrev ihop rapporten lagom till att Bayern skulle avsluta borta mot Lyon i semin det året.
http://epub.ub.uni-muenchen.de/11483/1/tr080.pdf
Haha, hittade till och med en statistisk forskningsrapport om ämnet skriven vid "Institut Für statistik" Ludwig Maximilians universität i München.
Skriven 2010, författaren är nog en hängiven Bayernsupporter som sammanställde statistiken och skrev ihop rapporten lagom till att Bayern skulle avsluta borta mot Lyon i semin det året.
soccer knockout ties with first and second leg the team which is playing at
home in the return match is generally seen as advantaged. For checking this
we analyzed matches of the UEFA Champions League. The UEFA Champions
League is usually seen as the most important competition for football club teams
in the world (or at least in Europe), and hence a natural reference. Our analysis showed that there is no statistical evidence for the common belief that the
chance of winning is higher if a team is playing away in the first leg and having
the second leg at home. For players, however, there may also be other reasons
for hoping that the return match will be at home. In the case of winning, for
example, they can celebrate together with all the fans at their home stadium.
home in the return match is generally seen as advantaged. For checking this
we analyzed matches of the UEFA Champions League. The UEFA Champions
League is usually seen as the most important competition for football club teams
in the world (or at least in Europe), and hence a natural reference. Our analysis showed that there is no statistical evidence for the common belief that the
chance of winning is higher if a team is playing away in the first leg and having
the second leg at home. For players, however, there may also be other reasons
for hoping that the return match will be at home. In the case of winning, for
example, they can celebrate together with all the fans at their home stadium.
http://epub.ub.uni-muenchen.de/11483/1/tr080.pdf
Låtsas inte som om du hittade det dokumentet av en slump då du såg den när dire länkade till den i tråden om engelsk fotboll när han diskuterade Manchester United - Real Madrid.

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Ursprungligen postat av Mastodontish
Både matcherna mot Real i förra årets semi och 2010 mot United var båda matchserier som avslutades på bortaplan. Och där vet vi ju hur det gick.
På tal om det mötet mellan Bayern München och United så sade Ferguson nyligen att det var en av de tre säsongerna där de åkte ut p.g.a. domslut och att han är övertygad att United hade vunnit CL-titeln två av de tre säsongerna.
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“Nani’s disappointed. He probably has that feeling of guilt but I don’t think he did anything wrong. It’s hard to keep your faith when you see these things happen. That’s three European Cups we’ve been knocked out of due to refereeing decisions. We’d have won two of them. I have no doubt about that.”
The first season Ferguson referred to was 2003-04 and particularly the round-of-16 second leg with Jose Mourinho’s Porto. “Porto, definitely. Scholes offside,’’ Ferguson said. Paul Scholes had turned in John O’Shea’s effort and was wrongly ruled offside. It got worse for United.
“The decision of the Russian referee when they brought down Ronaldo [who was] right through and didn’t even book him,’’ Ferguson reflected of Dmitri Alenichev’s foul ignored by Valentin Ivanov. “They got the free-kick right after that.” Phil Neville conceded it and, eventually, Costinha scored. However frustrated Ferguson might have been, many observers felt Mourinho’s side deserved to progress. “We would have won the European Cup that year,’’ Ferguson said. “They got Monaco in the final, didn’t they?” And won easily in Gelsenkirchen.
“The other one was Rafael against Bayern Munich,” Ferguson said of the full-back’s dismissal for two cautions by the Italian referee Nicola Rizzoli, at Old Trafford on April 7, 2010. His first offence was to aim a kick at Mark van Bommel. The second was for a pull on Franck Ribery. Few neutrals disputed Rafael’s expulsion. Bayern went on to lose to Mourinho’s Inter Milan in the Bernabéu final.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/football/teams/manchester-united/9919157/Manchester-United-manager-Sir-Alex-Ferguson-says-Real-Madrid-apologised-for-referee-error.html
The first season Ferguson referred to was 2003-04 and particularly the round-of-16 second leg with Jose Mourinho’s Porto. “Porto, definitely. Scholes offside,’’ Ferguson said. Paul Scholes had turned in John O’Shea’s effort and was wrongly ruled offside. It got worse for United.
“The decision of the Russian referee when they brought down Ronaldo [who was] right through and didn’t even book him,’’ Ferguson reflected of Dmitri Alenichev’s foul ignored by Valentin Ivanov. “They got the free-kick right after that.” Phil Neville conceded it and, eventually, Costinha scored. However frustrated Ferguson might have been, many observers felt Mourinho’s side deserved to progress. “We would have won the European Cup that year,’’ Ferguson said. “They got Monaco in the final, didn’t they?” And won easily in Gelsenkirchen.
“The other one was Rafael against Bayern Munich,” Ferguson said of the full-back’s dismissal for two cautions by the Italian referee Nicola Rizzoli, at Old Trafford on April 7, 2010. His first offence was to aim a kick at Mark van Bommel. The second was for a pull on Franck Ribery. Few neutrals disputed Rafael’s expulsion. Bayern went on to lose to Mourinho’s Inter Milan in the Bernabéu final.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/football/teams/manchester-united/9919157/Manchester-United-manager-Sir-Alex-Ferguson-says-Real-Madrid-apologised-for-referee-error.html
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Senast redigerad av TKD_1337 2013-03-15 kl. 17:39.
Senast redigerad av TKD_1337 2013-03-15 kl. 17:39.