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Lookalike
Regarding deaths outside established riskgroups I´ve seen numbers between 15 up to 25 percent dead without preexisting condition(s).
Regarding the true real infection ratio..it is an estimation.Mine gives that a total of around 6,7 percent of the population has or have had the disease.To me it actually looks like little on the downside of things given the study that came this week who´s numbers was relating to early April.
I think 400-500K simply is too low estimation.Looking at other studies from countries that has endured rigorous lockdowns like Spain or Belgium for example..even their studies shows higher infection ratios than this..and Sweden should be higher than those given our rather weak recommendations.
Spain showed a 5% infection rate. I think Sweden is in line with this. Compare it to Denmark’s 1% and it makes sense. I can see it being at 6.7% at this moment in time although I imagine an antibody test would likely find 4-5%. I’m not willing to die on this hill until we get some results with better test parameters though.
But 15% to 25% without pre-existing conditions would be anywhere from 600 to 1,000 deaths in Sweden, not 88.