Den stora tråden om global uppvärmning/växthuseffekten

Steven Goddard is a troll who’s real name he publicly acknowledges to be Tony Heller. He’s the penultimate troll, the King of Trolls, having made pseudoscience and climate change denialism his true life’s calling.

https://twitter.com/rgatess/status/1083582911507394560

Studie: Klimatsimuleringar är träffsäkra prognoser

Datasimuleringar som försöker förutspå temperaturförändringar har en hög grad av träffsäkerhet, enligt en ny studie som AP rapporterar om.

Forskare har tittat närmare på 17 simuleringar som gjordes mellan 1970 och 2017. Deras slutsats är att flertalet av dem var så pricksäkra att ”de var omöjliga att skilja från det som faktiskt hände”.

Enligt de senast gjorda simuleringarna kommer temperaturen år 2100 att ha ökat med 3 grader celsius jämfört med förindustriell tid. Det är en utveckling som FN:s klimatpanel IPCC har sagt kommer att få katastrofala följder.

https://omni.se/studie-klimatsimuleringar-ar-traffsakra-prognoser/a/b5wvRd
https://apnews.com/9898308e485f8dea65adb699cb2054a0

Global Warming: The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration may have a boring name, but it has a very important job: It measures U.S. temperatures. Unfortunately, it seems to be a captive of the global warming religion. Its data are fraudulent.

What do we mean by fraudulent? How about this: NOAA has made repeated "adjustments" to its data, for the presumed scientific reason of making the data sets more accurate.

Nothing wrong with that. Except, all their changes point to one thing — lowering previously measured temperatures to show cooler weather in the past, and raising more recent temperatures to show warming in the recent present.

This creates a data illusion of ever-rising temperatures to match the increase in CO2 in the Earth's atmosphere since the mid-1800s, which global warming advocates say is a cause-and-effect relationship. The more CO2, the more warming.

But the actual measured temperature record shows something different: There have been hot years and hot decades since the turn of the last century, and colder years and colder decades. But the overall measured temperature shows no clear trend over the last century, at least not one that suggests runaway warming.

That is, until the NOAA's statisticians "adjust" the data. Using complex statistical models, they change the data to reflect not reality, but their underlying theories of global warming. That's clear from a simple fact of statistics: Data generate random errors, which cancel out over time. So by averaging data, the errors mostly disappear.

That's not what NOAA does.

According to the NOAA, the errors aren't random. They're systematic. As we noted, all of their temperature adjustments lean cooler in the distant past, and warmer in the more recent past. But they're very fuzzy about why this should be.