Jag gillar inte allt i artikeln, men jag finner det intressant det oficiella Kina standpunkt kommer fram. Artikeln ar fran Maj 2017. After den har situationen blivit varre.
En bra artikel av Fu Ying, fd vice utrikesminister i Kina.
The Korean nuclear issue: Past, present, and future – A Chinese perspective
https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2017/04/north-korean-nuclear-issue-fu-ying.pdf
Slutsats kan ni aven hitta pa
http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/world/2017-05/09/content_29266091_11.htm
Det ar mycket intressant att lasa historien. Vart att tanka pa.
1. Ghaddiffi gav upp sit karnvapen program, och NK ledare vet vad som hande med honom.
2. Kina har alltid sagt att Korea halvon skall vara karnvapenfri. Kina foreslar att folja Urkraina modellen och ej Ghadiffi.
Men hur kommer vi vidare.
First possibility: The vicious cycle of U.S. and U.N. sanctions followed by North Korean nuclear and missile tests goes on until reaching a tipping point. Tank pa att NK karnvapenprogram startade EFTER saktionerna. This pattern is difficult to change because of two factors: First, North Korea is determined to possess nuclear capabilities in order to ensure its own security. This has been its policy choice, and has been increasingly reinforced over recent years.Secondly, the United States is unwilling to make any compromise and refuses to make a deal with North Korea, and this has become a politically correct view, especially in the military and strategic circles. In the U.S., there is often talk about the military option. Every time this is seriously considered, the analysis invariably shows that, given the heavily deployed conventional and strategic weaponry across the Peninsula, military action, big or small, would cause huge civilian casualties and results that are hard to control. Keeping the military option on the table also threatens stability and is a source of mistrust among the countries involved
Second possibility: The North Korean regime collapses — which is what the U.S. and the South Korea want the most. In the U.S., contact and dialogue with North Korea are often regarded as helping the regime and hindering changes. That is why North Korea firmly believes that the U.S. will not change its hostile policy and, therefore, that it should take a strong position to resist. The reality is that the Korean economy has already passed through its most difficult time. Kim Jong- un, after taking up the mantle as North Korea's top leader, has stabilized the domestic situation.
Third possibility: Talks and serious negotiations restart, which may ease or even resolve the nu- clear issue. . But past experience shows the obvious benefits of talking: First, talks helped stabilize the situation and created conditions for addressing mutual concerns. Second, talking opened the way to reaching various agreements. The September 19 Joint Statement, February 13 Joint Document, and October 3 Joint Document, which were achieved through the Six-Party Talks, represent the maximum consensus among all parties and together provide a roadmap for a political solution to the Korean nuclear issue.The disruption of the talks was due to a failure to implement the agreements, and the nuclear issue has escalated in the absence of talks.
Stegen
1. DPRK suspend its missile and nuclear activities in exchange for a halting of large- scale U.S.-ROK exercises.
2. approach of denuclearizing the Peninsula on the one hand and establishing a peace mechanism on the other.
To conclude, China's interest lies in ensuring a nuclear-free Korean Peninsula, and preventing the disruption of peace and security in Northeast Asia and the whole of the Asia Pacific. China' responsibility is to play a proactive role in achieving the above objectives through peaceful means, and to help bring about a peace accord, thus creating lasting peace and enabling greater cooperation in the region. China should also be firm in preventing any major turbulence or even conflict on the Peninsula. Only through dialogue can mutual security be achieved. In this way, we may help wrestle the Korean Peninsula out of its current vicious cycle and prevent Northeast Asia from turning into a "Dark Forest
En bra artikel av Fu Ying, fd vice utrikesminister i Kina.
The Korean nuclear issue: Past, present, and future – A Chinese perspective
https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2017/04/north-korean-nuclear-issue-fu-ying.pdf
Slutsats kan ni aven hitta pa
http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/world/2017-05/09/content_29266091_11.htm
Det ar mycket intressant att lasa historien. Vart att tanka pa.
1. Ghaddiffi gav upp sit karnvapen program, och NK ledare vet vad som hande med honom.
2. Kina har alltid sagt att Korea halvon skall vara karnvapenfri. Kina foreslar att folja Urkraina modellen och ej Ghadiffi.
Men hur kommer vi vidare.
First possibility: The vicious cycle of U.S. and U.N. sanctions followed by North Korean nuclear and missile tests goes on until reaching a tipping point. Tank pa att NK karnvapenprogram startade EFTER saktionerna. This pattern is difficult to change because of two factors: First, North Korea is determined to possess nuclear capabilities in order to ensure its own security. This has been its policy choice, and has been increasingly reinforced over recent years.Secondly, the United States is unwilling to make any compromise and refuses to make a deal with North Korea, and this has become a politically correct view, especially in the military and strategic circles. In the U.S., there is often talk about the military option. Every time this is seriously considered, the analysis invariably shows that, given the heavily deployed conventional and strategic weaponry across the Peninsula, military action, big or small, would cause huge civilian casualties and results that are hard to control. Keeping the military option on the table also threatens stability and is a source of mistrust among the countries involved
Second possibility: The North Korean regime collapses — which is what the U.S. and the South Korea want the most. In the U.S., contact and dialogue with North Korea are often regarded as helping the regime and hindering changes. That is why North Korea firmly believes that the U.S. will not change its hostile policy and, therefore, that it should take a strong position to resist. The reality is that the Korean economy has already passed through its most difficult time. Kim Jong- un, after taking up the mantle as North Korea's top leader, has stabilized the domestic situation.
Third possibility: Talks and serious negotiations restart, which may ease or even resolve the nu- clear issue. . But past experience shows the obvious benefits of talking: First, talks helped stabilize the situation and created conditions for addressing mutual concerns. Second, talking opened the way to reaching various agreements. The September 19 Joint Statement, February 13 Joint Document, and October 3 Joint Document, which were achieved through the Six-Party Talks, represent the maximum consensus among all parties and together provide a roadmap for a political solution to the Korean nuclear issue.The disruption of the talks was due to a failure to implement the agreements, and the nuclear issue has escalated in the absence of talks.
Stegen
1. DPRK suspend its missile and nuclear activities in exchange for a halting of large- scale U.S.-ROK exercises.
2. approach of denuclearizing the Peninsula on the one hand and establishing a peace mechanism on the other.
To conclude, China's interest lies in ensuring a nuclear-free Korean Peninsula, and preventing the disruption of peace and security in Northeast Asia and the whole of the Asia Pacific. China' responsibility is to play a proactive role in achieving the above objectives through peaceful means, and to help bring about a peace accord, thus creating lasting peace and enabling greater cooperation in the region. China should also be firm in preventing any major turbulence or even conflict on the Peninsula. Only through dialogue can mutual security be achieved. In this way, we may help wrestle the Korean Peninsula out of its current vicious cycle and prevent Northeast Asia from turning into a "Dark Forest
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Senast redigerad av svensk0kina 2018-01-19 kl. 03:32. Anledning: tillagg
Senast redigerad av svensk0kina 2018-01-19 kl. 03:32. Anledning: tillagg