Enligt den här artikeln så kommer NATO och gulfstaterna att intensifiera sina vapenleveranser till FSA. Det är bland annat anti-tank och anti-flyg vapen som skall allokeras ut. Syftet med detta är inte att rebellerna vinner kriget, utan att det blir lite mer balans på marken så att regimen blir lite mer tillmötesgående vid framtida förhandlingar i Schweiz.
Här nedan är en intressant inblick i hur dom båda stridande parterna betraktar denna nya vapenleverans.
Citat:
The reaction of both sides in the latest round of sabre rattling has been predictable. Maher, a junior officer in a branch of the Syrian security forces, told Al-Monitor, “They’ve been arming those terrorists for three years now. What difference would new weapons make?” He went on to say, “They see their puppets in Syria losing, and they think more weapons can make them win, but they will only destroy more of Syria before they are crushed.” Abu Saleh, a rebel in the eastern rebel-held part of Aleppo, offered a contrasting view, telling Al-Monitor, “We need these new weapons. Then we can at least stop the barrel bombs from falling and the jets from bombing us, but I don’t think they will give them to us. They always promise but never deliver.”
Saleh har en poäng.
Citat:
Abu Saleh makes a valid point. The campaign of barrel bombing Aleppo has recently greatly intensified. As the regime advances into the strategic Sheikh Najar industrial zone to the east of the city, with its sights set on the Castello road to the north, a siege of the rebel-held east seems imminent, and a repeat of the scenarios from Homs or Damascus is quite likely. The barrel bombing seems designed to drive as many residents out as possible, and it has so far proven successful. Large swathes of east Aleppo are now almost entirely deserted, except for rebel fighters, including the historic old city, which is slowly being reduced to rubble by regime air strikes and rebel detonation of underground tunnels. It would seem the regime has dropped any pretense of trying to win the hearts and minds of the residents of rebel-held areas, opting instead to drive them out by force and lay claim to their territory.
http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2014/02/syria-escalation-arms-end-ceasefire.html
Regimen har ett manskaps problem och därför så är deras krigsmetod begränsad.
Citat:
This has led government troops to rely on what Christopher Harmer, a military analyst at the ISW, calls siege warfare. “They identify rebel neighborhoods, encircle them and then shell and starve them into submission, trying to deny the rebels a safe haven,” he says. “They have enough infantry to go head-to-head in very specific places only.” The brutal barrel bombing of Aleppo, the starvation tactics that have left thousands of people without food in Damascus and Homs, and the razing of entire neighborhoods in these cities are only the most striking examples of this.
http://carnegieendowment.org/syriaincrisis/?fa=54597
Kanske kan en färsk leverans av luftvärnsvapen förhindra regimen från att rulla ut tunnor med dynamit på rebeller och civila? Och därmed så blir inte regimens "siege warfare" så framgångsrik.
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