Jag gör ett nytt försök att väcka intresse för forskarnas analyser av extrema väder under 2018. Alla minns nog sommaren 2018 t ex och säkert en del andra händelser också. Men just när det händer är det svårt att veta vad de beror på. Vetenskapens metoder på området har dock förbättrats kraftigt, så nu har vi svar på funderingarna.
Explaining Extreme Events from a Climate Perspective
This BAMS special report presents assessments of how human-caused climate change may have affected the strength and likelihood of individual extreme events.
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• The Extreme 2018 Northern California Fire Season
• Anthropogenic Impacts on the Exceptional Precipitation of 2018 in the Mid-Atlantic United States
• Quantifying Human-Induced Temperature Impacts on the 2018 United States Four Corners Hydrologic and Agro-Pastoral Drought
• Extreme Hail Storms and Climate Change: Foretelling the Future In Tiny, Turbulent Crystal Balls?
• The Extremely Cold Start of the Spring of 2018 in the United Kingdom
• The Exceptional Iberian Heatwave of Summer 2018
• Analyses of the European Summer Heatwave of 2018
• Anthropogenic Influence on the 2018 Summer Warm Spell in Europe: The Impact of Different Spatio-temporal Scales
• On High Precipitation in Mozambique, Zimbabwe and Zambia in February 2018
• The Record Low Bering Sea Ice Extent in 2018: Context, Impacts, and an Assessment of the Role of Anthropogenic Climate Change
• The Late Spring Drought of 2018 in South China
• Anthropogenic Influence on 2018 Summer Persistent Heavy Rainfall in Central Western China
• Conditional Attribution of the 2018 Summer Extreme Heat over Northeast China: Roles of Urbanization, Global Warming and Warming-induced Circulation Changes
• Effects of Anthropogenic Forcing and Natural Variability on the 2018 Heatwave in Northeast Asia
• Anthropogenic Influences on the Persistent Night-Time Heat Wave in Summer 2018 over Northeast China
• Anthropogenic Contributions to the 2018 Extreme Flooding over Upper Yellow River Basin in China
• Attribution of the Record-Breaking Consecutive Dry Days in Winter 2017/18 in Beijing
• Quantifying Human Impact on the 2018 Summer Longest Heat Wave in South Korea
• The Heavy Rain Event of July 2018 in Japan Enhanced by Historical Warming
• Deconstructing Factors Contributing to the 2018 Fire Weather in Queensland, Australia
• A 1-Day Extreme Rainfall Event in Tasmania: Process Evaluation and Long Tail Attribution
https://www.ametsoc.org/ams/index.cfm/publications/bulletin-of-the-american-meteorological-society-bams/explaining-extreme-events-from-a-climate-perspective/