Den här artikeln beskriver ungefär vad jag har försökt säga sedan 2022 tror jag.
Simplicius säger:
https://substack.com/home/post/p-164253750
Ryssarna ävancerar inte så länge Ukraina flyttar fram kanonmat till redan sönderskjutna försvarsställningar. Därav så avancerar man sakta. Detta har man gjort sedan hösten 2022 eller tidigt 2023 ungefär
Citat:
By combining ground assaults with artillery and glide bombs, as well as drones in what British experts call an “offensive triangle,” Russia has been able to make small but steady gains in 2024 by placing Ukrainian troops in an untenable position.
Citat:
Well, the reason the gains are “small” is because each time Ukraine’s defensive lines are gouged out of the earth with glide bombs, Ukraine simply refills them with more ‘meat’. Thus, advancement will always be ‘small’ when the enemy is trading mass casualties for time
Citat:
In the opening, they note:
Russian recruitment, however, has exceeded Kremlin targets for every month of 2025. Having shuffled commanders and built-up reserves of equipment, Russia is now set to increase the tempo and scale of attacks.
Nytt material skickas till reservenheterna i stället för till fronten. tror ni detta är ett tecken på att de börjar få ont om pansar.
Citat:
As noted earlier, the only argument for Ukraine surviving that pro-Ukrainian analysts maintain is that Russia will run out of major hardware like tanks in the near future. The bizarre contradiction in this is that in the same breath they deride Russia for switching almost entirely to motorcycle, ATV, and light vehicle assaults. Yet Russia is still advancing sharply, with the tempo increasing in recent weeks. How then are we to believe Russia’s purported shortage of heavy armor will affect this? The light vehicle assaults seem to be doing just fine at conducting successful advances—tanks are hardly even used anymore, particularly the best ones—recall the earlier WSJ report that Russian T-90Ms are now all being sent to rear reserve units.
Edit. Jag såg nu att detta är en betalartikel så ni kanske inte kan läsa hela men citaten ovan är hursom från artikeln.
Fabian strategin från Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fabian_strategy
Citat:
The Fabian strategy is a military strategy where pitched battles and frontal assaults are avoided in favor of wearing down an opponent through a war of attrition and indirection. While avoiding decisive battles, the side employing this strategy harasses its enemy through skirmishes to cause attrition, disrupt supply and affect morale. Employment of this strategy implies that the side adopting this strategy believes time is on its side, usually because the side employing the strategy is fighting in, or close to, their homeland and the enemy is far from home and by necessity has long and costly supply lines. It may also be adopted when no feasible alternative strategy can be devised.
