Citat:
Ursprungligen postat av
OlleHelge
Lönerna ökar i Ukraina:
http://www.tradingeconomics.com/ukraine/wages
Handelsbalansen på plus:
http://www.tradingeconomics.com/ukraine/balance-of-trade
Och framåt
ser det ljusare ut med en konstant tillväxt:
http://www.tradingeconomics.com/ukraine/gdp/forecast
Det ska bli intressant att se hur
Ukraina går från klarhet till klarhet. Det tar lite tid att få bort Sovjetkorruptionen... Titta bara på Ryssland, de sitter med alla 4 hjulen i korruptionsdyngan. Det tar tid men
går i rättriktning.
Det intressanta är för perioden inte enstaka månad...
Ukraina
handelsöverskott minskade till $ 186.700.000 i maj 2016 från $ 311.600.000 överskott ett år tidigare.
Handelsbalansen för de första 5 månaderna uppgick till
ett underskott $ 694.000.000, jämfört med $ 128.100.000 överskott under samma period 2015.
The main imports partners were: Russia (12.0 percent of total imports)...
Det handlar om
förväntningar (som inte alltid stämmer)
Citat:
GDP in Ukraine
is expected to be 95.06 USD Billion by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. In the long-term, the Ukraine GDP
is projected to trend around 119.44 USD Billion in 2020, according to our econometric models.
http://www.tradingeconomics.com/ukraine/gdp/forecast
Hittills har Kievregimen
försämrat prognosen för BNP för innevarande år till
1%, och inflationsbedömningen till
12%.
Tyvärr, stämmer inte att Ukraina går från klarhet till klarhet. Korruptionen är, och kommer att vara på tapeten tills Kievregimen inser att US, EU, m fl, menar allvar. Du kan inte bortförklara ukrainsk "
kronisk korruption" genom (som vanligt) dra in Ryssland och Putin.
Citat:
A former senior minister, in government until April, described the official mindset as follows: “They believe that Ukraine is too important for America and the European Union to allow it to fail. I think that’s completely delusional. I think Ukraine has this year in which to show real results.
The U.S. and other friends of Ukraine are losing patience.”
Brian Mefford, a political and business consultant who has lived in Kiev for the past 17 years, said that
Ukraine will soon face an uphill battle trying to convince a new U.S. president that it is serious about reform. “There are three key things that Kiev can do to ensure that ‘Ukraine fatigue’ does not set in,” he told me. “
One: fight corruption.
Two: fight corruption.
Three: fight corruption.”
But so far, the problem just keeps getting worse — and
it goes all the way to the top. This month, one of Ukraine’s most respected anti-corruption journalists, Sergii Leshchenko, himself a member of parliament from President Poroshenko’s party,
wrote a devastating piece accusing Poroshenko of creating a “clan” of cronies and oligarchs around himself in the same way as his corrupt predecessor, Viktor Yanukovych.
Lawmaker Arkady Kornatsky, also a member of the president’s party, told me that
his experience in government has revealed to him the extent of the corrupt system. “All the parties in parliament, including the one of which I’m a member,
were created and funded by oligarchs, and they are protecting each others’ interests,” he told me. “I want to believe that the president himself is honest but
I don’t see him seriously fighting corruption.
Kornatsky claims
to have evidence that the Ukrainian government is stealing much of the money being provided by western countries and the IMF. He believes disenchantment with continued corruption will lead to protests and even local separatist movements.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2016/08/01/kiev-in-denial-ukraine-poroshenko-corruption/
(min fetning)
Sergii Leshchenko
Citat:
Since any economic breakthroughs before the next presidential election are doubtful, and the party cash till is bursting with unexplained income, all the more likely it is that
he will have to hold onto power Leonid Kuchma style. This means that during the second round of the next presidential elections,the most odious and least well-suited candidate will stand against the incumbent president.
In the meantime, instead of fighting with the oligarchs, the conditions are being created in which
they are forced to make concessions and to share. As a result,
the system is not being cleaned. It only redistributes the flows of money and assets in the interests of the presidential clan. The only way to stop this wave is to force the power to cleanse itself is through uniting
new politicians and propaganda on their intolerance towards corruption. And there should be
a strong argument in this fight for the introduction of international sanctions against corrupt officials in the new government.
https://www.kyivpost.com/article/opinion/op-ed/sergii-leshchenko-weve-returned-to-the-family-poroshenko-creates-his-clan-419429.html
(min fetning)
Det är ytterst pinsamt att Ukraina inte kan själv skapa "National Anti-Corruption Bureau of Ukraine"
Citat:
Krasnosilska says the single most positive step has been the creation of the National Anti-Corruption Bureau of Ukraine, and the appointment of honest investigators to lead it. But she says that was only possible because the selection panel that appointed NABU’s investigators included one representative each from the U.S. Embassy, the Canadian Embassy, and the EU mission to Ukraine, who had the power to veto people nominated by Poroshenko and the parliament.
Men det finns mer...
Citat:
Ukraine’s reputation for
widespread corruption is tied to how its well-connected oligarchs have looted the country using two key strategies: raiding companies and bank fraud.
“NABU has begun 150 investigations and brought 20 cases to the courts,” Krasnosilska said. “But
the courts are blocking them, refusing to issue warrants, or leaking warrants.”
Krasnosilska says Ukraine now needs
an independent anti-corruption court, with judges appointed by the same foreign-vetted screening process.
Far from assisting the Anti-Corruption Action Centre, a foreign-financed NGO,
Poroshenko’s government has targeted it for legal harassment over supposed irregularities in its foreign funding. His former chief prosecutor Viktor Shokin, notorious
for his refusal to prosecute actual corruption, continued to pursue the Anti-Corruption Action Centre in the courts as recently as May.
Shokin was eventually removed from office after U.S. ambassador Geoffrey Pyatt threatened to stop all aid if Shokin wasn’t fired. But, according to the Kyiv Post, Poroshenko dragged his feet for
six months before letting him go. “It wasn’t me talking on Shokin,” Pyatt told the Kyiv Post. “
It was the United States government. The conditionality of getting rid of Shokin was an important step to at least opening the door to reform the prosecutor’s office.”
Paul Grod, the Ukrainian-Canadian CEO of Rodan Energy and president of the Ukrainian Canadian Congress, told CBC News, “
There’s no question that things have happened that left a bad taste in everyone’s mouth, and that cost Ukraine investments.”
According to the Kyiv Post, the IMF is planning to reduce a loan to Ukraine from a planned $1.7 billion to $1 billion
over corruption concerns.
When the banks started to collapse, the National Bank of Ukraine —
with now-President Petro Poroshenko on its board of directors — was slow to step in.
According to the Kyiv Post‘s
Legal Quarterly,
the delay gave the banks’ owners time to finish stripping and laundering assets. Any savings over $8,000 were wiped out. Up to that amount, savings were insured by the Ukrainian state, which is to say the Ukrainian taxpayer.
In all,
Ukraine’s Deposit Guarantee Fund estimates that nearly $15 billion was stripped from the state and from ordinary Ukrainian savers, with much of that money being shipped overseas.
https://newcoldwar.org/ukraines-corruption-continues-to-cost-the-country-dearly/
(min fetning)
