Putin beordrar styrkor att gå in i Ukraina - INVASION NU (2022-02-24)

Today, the General Staff of Ukraine admitted that about 150,000 personnel are involved in all directions by Russia (this is with units of the republics of Donbass inclusive). Yes, there is still aviation, a navy operating from the territory of the Russian Federation, some units of logistics support, but on the theater itself (the largest since 1945), only one and a half hundred people participate in the battles. And this is recognized by the Ukrainian side, constantly shouting about the "colossal numerical advantage of the Russians."

In fact, there is much more manpower from the Ukrainian side. The same head of the presidential faction, Arakhamia, said that "a million people have been mobilized." And even if this is a clear exaggeration, in any case, the RF Armed Forces are numerically inferior to the enemy from the first day of the operation. And while moving forward.

In principle, from many points of view, this military campaign is unique for Russia. For the first time without a numerical superiority. For the first time with the desire to minimize their own losses, even to the detriment of the pace of progress and the scale of the tasks being solved. For the first time, not at the expense of mobilized, but receiving serious payments from contractors and volunteers.

Without taking into account all these factors, any analysis is devoid of a correct basis. Therefore, the mantras repeated daily in the Western press that “with a huge involvement of forces and means, Russia has not been able to achieve its main goals” are fundamentally false.

Of course, if the Kremlin believed that the Ukrainian army would scatter and the regime would fall apart, then yes, they were grossly mistaken. But there are no serious grounds to believe that such expectations were in Moscow. On the contrary, I repeat for the umpteenth time, there are enough reasons to think that no one counted on a quick capitulation of Kyiv.

The fact that Russian society was not prepared for this, and continues to be not prepared for this, is the key problem. The Kremlin's approach of "we will do, and you will evaluate by the result" does not work in the modern world. And hence the underestimated results, which in fact should have been surprising. With all the many real problems of the Russian army and the military-industrial complex.

The conflict led to a vast exodus from the Donbas: half the region's population were forced to flee their homes.[68] A UN OHCHR report released on 3 March 2016 stated that, since the conflict broke out in 2014, the Ukrainian government registered 1.6 million internally displaced people who had fled the Donbas to other parts of Ukraine.[69] Over 1 million were said to have fled elsewhere, mostly to Russia. At the time of the report, 2.7 million people were said to continue to live in areas under DPR and LPR control