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Ursprungligen postat av
RandomSvenskDude
140 dollar fatet nu. 12 dagar in i ett rätt segt krig.
När ryssarna dunkar på ordentligt åt helgen kommer kraven att kapa all ryssk olja bli så höga från Väst.
Då är vi uppe i 200 dollar fatet mot påsk.
City diesel i Sverige kring 38 kr.
Ekonomisk depression i hela OECD.
Detta var Putins long game.
Det är nog ett short game, inte long game.
Europa kommer betala en hög pris i några månader medans Ryssland kommer svälta, möjligtvis i decennier.
Främsta experten på gas i Norge:
https://www.rystadenergy.com/newsevents/news/press-releases/note-from-the-ceo-russia-invades-ukraine-whats-at-stake-for-global-energy-markets/
Citat:
Looking back, 155 Bcm of Russian gas was exported to Europe in 2021 – and most of this may need to be replaced in 2022. A realistic but ambitious formula to achieve this could be: 70 Bcm of increased LNG imports (supply is not a problem, but regas and the cost of diverting cargoes to Europe could be); 15 Bcm of added production from Norway, the UK and the Netherlands; 2 Bcm of Azeri gas; 10 Bcm of additional gas from storage; 30 Bcm by switching to other fuels in the power sector (max load on coal, liquids, biomass, nuclear and hydro); and 30 Bcm of demand destruction in the industrial sector. This scenario would likely hit Russia hard as the country has nowhere else to export its gas – domestic storage levels are already full and gas from western Siberia can’t physically be diverted to Asia.