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OUFCompulsive
Yes, you also have to account for missed deaths and the delay to deaths in regards to antibodies forming (roughly nine days lag to deaths vs antibodies).
What do you think about the Tegnell statement today, that we have to adjust for delay, for antibodies tests that FHM has looked at? Meaning that he says, today he thinks we have 20-25% immune in Stockholm, since we had something like 7%(?) a few weeks ago...
To me, it sounds like absolute wishful thinking, or worse, but I don't know.
What is more interesting is that he said something along the lines of we will never reach full herd immunity unless we get vaccine. I would think this would be Breaking news, and cause for revising our strategy, but it seems he thinks we should basically keep going with the same thing we have now.
What happens if it simmers down now because of Summer and then we get a bad second wave, in autumn, with still very few immune in the population ? That is a very unpleasant thought. So many questions...