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Olbars
That isn't entirely true though. You also need to consider sustainability.
Most Western countries have adapted strategies stating "you can go to the grocery store", "you can take a walk" and "some people should still go to work". Not only does this allow for the plague to continue spreading, but for such a strategy to be successful in keeping the pace of spread down, a society would also have to maintain their restrictions for a tremendous amount of time. It's a fair estimation that most countries won't be able to achieve that, at least not while still managing to avoid some heavy collateral damage.
Absolutely. I grew up in England however, and while my friends there are saying the lockdown is tough – they see the necessity.
I think the ideal option would be a controversial one. Stock markets are frozen. The army is called in to enforce strict martial law. Banks are frozen. Lockdown for three months, only allowed out for an exercise period + mobile phone tracing to make sure everybody keeps their distance. Rationing begins much like in war-time with deliveries to every house, army also deals with trash collection. All bills are suspended for this duration.
The critical supply chain workers are locked into their job for the next three months at 10x pay. Hospital workers are divided by shift so that if one shift becomes infected the other shift isn’t affected. Children of critical supply chain workers who can’t stay with a relative or parent are sent to live-in nurseries around the country, much like in war-time.
Three months should be enough for outliers to vanish even if an outlier infects an outlier at the end of their infection, with a margin. Serological testing is brought in to hospitals at the end of this period as each shift of hospitals takes their turn in being declared free of the virus/quarantined. The army ends their shift the same way.
Strict border control whereby anybody in is turned back by police/military and all flights in are suspended. Nobody in. Mobile phone-tracing ends, quarantine ends, virus eliminated. Stocks unfrozen + bank accounts unfrozen + government foots all residential/commercial bills afterwards. Mass serological testing of the population afterwards as we wait for a vaccine to come.
EDIT:
Three months of isolation will of course be extremely tough on the population. Of course it will. But I know my grandparents lived through worse. My great-grandfather fought in two world wars, my hometown had black-outs nightly as the Germans flew over to bomb them. The children were sent away. The risk of death was far greater than today, and knew no age limit. They also survived the Spanish flu in 1920, and they also quarantined around the world to escape it. It’s not a case of “but it can’t be done” — of course it can. People throughout history have survived worse than this.
