9/11 - WTC/Pentagon/Shanksville m.m - Tråd Nr 2

Three weeks after EgyptAir Flight 804 crashed into the sea killing all 66 people on board, several theories abound about what happened.

It was terrorism. It was mechanical failure, or, as some claim, it could have been a meteor collision.

In the days after the crash, many people waited for a militant group to boast it was responsible. After a week, many analysts said continued silence indicated that it may not have been terrorism. Why would terrorists not claim responsibility for such a devastating attack?

The answer is: because they usually don’t, according to a new study by Max Abrahms of Northeastern University and Justin Conrad from the University of North Carolina at Charlotte.

“Terrorist groups claim credit for only one out of seven attacks,” says Abrahms. “The argument that it wasn’t terrorism because there was no credit claimed is not empirically correct.”

To be clear, he’s not saying the EgyptAir crash was terrorism, just that silence from the militants proves nothing either way.
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Why not boast?
After the March bombings in Brussels, Islamic State militants claimed responsibility for the attack, as they had last year prior after the Paris incidents.

For the militants, these attacks, that altogether killed 162 people, were meant to be spectacles, according to Dalia Ghanem Yazbeck of the Carnegie Middle East Center.

“Claiming an attack publicly in our era is also a way to attract attention, to be taken seriously, to terrorize a whole range of people and different countries at the same time,” she explains. “Look how Paris and Brussels attacks shocked not only France and Belgium, but Europe, America and the whole world.”

She says groups also sometimes have reasons not to claim credit for attacks, such as to avoid retaliation. In other cases, militant groups simply do not need the publicity in areas where they are already powerful. “Lone wolf” attacks are by nature conducted without the knowledge of a known terrorist organization, Yazbeck adds.

Instead, they argue, claims of responsibility are strategic decisions based on expected political fallout, with little relation to ideology. “Terrorist groups have to worry about their survival as an organization,” says Abrahms.

Contrary to popular belief, he adds, while extreme violence against civilians does attract interest from the most extreme of extremists, it also can quickly build enemies. The international coalition against Islamic State is weakening the organization, while other groups, like al-Nusra in Syria, an al-Qaida offshoot, are growing partially by presenting themselves as fighters in a war, rather than killers of civilians.

Det är bara att läsa de senaste månaderna diskussion mellan oss - vi har knappast diskuterat nåt annat... Det är totalt fruktlöst att svara på skit du redan fått svar på 20 gånger - det kommer sluta som i jfk där du tuggar skåpmat om och om igen till ingen som helst nytta eller utveckling..