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Ursprungligen postat av Mawizda
Exakt samma uppfattning hade man när Kim Il Sung dött, en "playboyknutte" kan ju inte styra ett land, ändå vart landet starkare än någonsin och vi kommer se samma sak nu när Kim Jong Un tar över. Vidare vill jag se en källa på FR Kinas påstådda bedömning.
Wikileaks ambassadcabels: Mer insyn går inte att få vad gäller inoficiella åsikter hos länder och beslutsfattare:
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(S) Sophisticated Chinese officials XXXXXXXXXXXX stood in sharp contrast to Wu, according to VFM Chun.XXXXXXXXXXXX Chun claimed XXXXXXXXXX believed Korea should be unified under ROK control.XXXXXXXXXXXX, Chun said, were ready to “face the new reality†that the DPRK now had little value to China as a buffer state -- a view that since North Korea’s 2006 nuclear test had reportedly gained traction among senior PRC leaders.
...PRC Actions In A DPRK Collapse Scenario...
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(S) Chun argued that, in the event of a North Korean collapse, China would clearly “not welcome†any U.S. military presence north of the DMZ. XXXXXXXXXXXX Chun XXXXXXXXXXXX said the PRC would be comfortable with a reunified Korea controlled by Seoul and anchored to the United States in a “benign alliance†-- as long as Korea was not hostile towards China. Tremendous trade and labor-export opportunities for Chinese companies, Chun said, would also help salve PRC concerns about living with a reunified Korea. Chundismissed the prospect of a possible PRC military intervention in the event of a DPRK collapse, noting that China’s strategic economic interests now lie with the United States, Japan, and South Korea -- not North Korea. Moreover, Chun argued, bare-knuckle PRC military intervention in a DPRK internal crisis could “strengthen the centrifugal forces in China’s minority areas.â€
...and Japan