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Ursprungligen postat av
Elon-Fiske
Nu har ISW räknat ut att det skulle ta 89 år för Ryssland att ta kontroll över Ukraina i den här takten. Bara att ta kontroll över de områden som Putin utropat som evigt ryska kommer att ta 5 år. Men nu visar det sig att deras sommaroffensiv stallat och att man bara lyckas rekrytera 15000 nya soldater i månaden mot tidigare 30000. Då förlusterna ligger på över 20000 i månaden är det långsiktigt hopplöst.
ISW = Victoria Nulands propagandakanal
Tillgång på vapen 1 - 0 till Ryssland
Vår egen högt rankade Natochef Mark Rutte uttalade sig nyligen
Russia makes a year's worth of NATO ammunition in 3 months, Rutte says (
https://kyivindependent.com/russia-m...hs-rutte-says/)
"
The capabilities of (Vladimir) Putin's war machine are speeding up, not slowing down," Rutte said. "Russia is reconstituting its forces with Chinese technology and producing more weapons faster than we thought."
Rutte's statement comes amid mounting tensions between the alliance and Russia and an increasingly uncertain U.S. commitment to European security.
According to Rutte, Russia is restoring its military potential with the help of China, Iran, and North Korea.
This year, the Russian industrial complex is expected to roll out 1,500 tanks, 3,000 armored vehicles, and 200 Iskander missiles, NATO chief said."
Tillgång på trupper 1 - 0 till Ryssland
Ukraine faces significant manpower shortages, with desertions (over 100,000 cases by November 2024) and an average frontline soldier age of 43, indicating strain on combat-ready personnel. Reports also highlight that only a fraction of recruits are fit for frontline duty, with some brigades receiving poorly trained or unfit soldiers.
Based on X posts and broader context,
Ukraine likely has 300,000–400,000 troops actively deployed across the 1,200 km frontline in 2025, though this includes both combat and support roles within frontline units. The actual number of combat-ready soldiers directly engaging in fighting is likely lower due to logistical needs.
Considering the pattern of
Russian troop buildups a reasonable estimate for mid-2025 is likely
between 650,000 and 700,000 troops in Ukraine, with potential growth toward 800,000 if planned reinforcements materialize.
Slutsats
ryssarna 3 ggr så mycket vapen och dubbelt så många trupper
Det verkar som om våra sanktioner har straffat Ukraina mer än Ryssland