Citat:
Sorry, Russia's Winning the War
Here’s the mainstream narrative:The status of the war in Ukraine is best understood as a competition between the narrative and reality.
The narrative says that Russia is in retreat, Russian troops are demoralized, Putin is in jeopardy of being replaced and complete victory for Ukraine is just a matter of time.
The actual situation on the battlefield is almost completely at odds with the narrative. Ukraine did make advances in the east, but they were against lightly defended Russian positions on or near open terrain. Russia will incorporate all of this territory into the Russian Federation and will likely move further into Moldova to reunite with a pro-Russian corridor called Transnistria with its capital in Tiraspol. At that point, Russian strategic objectives will be complete. Ukraine will be left as a rump state between Kyiv and Lviv.
The sanctions have had little economic impact on Russia. But the effect on Europe and the U.S. has been devastating including energy shortages, inflation and supply chain disruption. These effects will persist and cause the EU and U.S. to fall into a severe recession in the first half of 2023.
https://dailyreckoning.com/sorry-rus...nning-the-war/
Here’s the mainstream narrative:The status of the war in Ukraine is best understood as a competition between the narrative and reality.
The narrative says that Russia is in retreat, Russian troops are demoralized, Putin is in jeopardy of being replaced and complete victory for Ukraine is just a matter of time.
The actual situation on the battlefield is almost completely at odds with the narrative. Ukraine did make advances in the east, but they were against lightly defended Russian positions on or near open terrain. Russia will incorporate all of this territory into the Russian Federation and will likely move further into Moldova to reunite with a pro-Russian corridor called Transnistria with its capital in Tiraspol. At that point, Russian strategic objectives will be complete. Ukraine will be left as a rump state between Kyiv and Lviv.
The sanctions have had little economic impact on Russia. But the effect on Europe and the U.S. has been devastating including energy shortages, inflation and supply chain disruption. These effects will persist and cause the EU and U.S. to fall into a severe recession in the first half of 2023.
https://dailyreckoning.com/sorry-rus...nning-the-war/
herregud vilket dravel. Jaså Ryssland ska genomföra en offensiv med målet att ta Odessa? Imponerande, särskilt då man sprängde alla broar över Dneipr då man retirerade från den "icke-strategiska" staden Kherson men ryssarna har säkert en finurlig lösning på det lilla problemet. Intressant att den ryska frontkollapsen i norr nu beskrivs som en välordnad reträtt (trots att ryssarna lämnade kvar väldiga mängder utrustning efter sig) men inte lika spännande som beskrivningen av de tvångsinkallade fyllbultarna med rostiga bössor som välutbildade och välutrustade.
