Citat:
Det är värt att hålla extra koll på Michigan och Pennsylvania framöver med tanke på president Zelenskys besök i Washington. Det finns en hel del innevånare med ukrainsk bakgrund i dessa två swingstater. I Pennsylvania utgör de 1% av befolkningen och i Michigan 0,5 %.VP Harris siffror i Nevada är hoppingivande. Pennsylvanias med.
Morning Consult (Bloomberg) - General Election poll - Likely voters - Swing States
Arizona - 🔵 Harris +3
Georgia - 🟡 Tie
N. Carolina - 🔵 Harris +2
Nevada - 🔵 Harris +7
Michigan - 🔵 Harris +3
Pennsylvania - 🔵 Harris +5
Wisconsin - 🔵 Harris +3
https://x.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1839453750995345828
Den amerikanske historikern Timothy Snyder har förklarat hur frågan om Ukraina faktiskt skulle kunna avgöra valet. Med detta i bakhuvudet blir det mer begripligt att Trump ändrat sig och faktiskt träffar Zelensky i dag fredag. Utrikespolitik blir inrikespolitik vare sig Trump vill det eller inte.
Citat:
https://snyder.substack.com/p/ukraine-and-harris
When thinking of how the United States matters to Ukraine, it is also worthwhile considering how Ukrainians (Ukrainian-Americans) will matter in this election.
Given the strange American electoral system, certain states matter more than others. Ukrainian-Americans are 1% of the population of Pennsylvania, and 0.5% of the population of Michigan. If Trump wins those two states, he will win the general election. If Harris wins those two states, then she will win the general election.
In Michigan, the number of Ukrainian-Americans is greater than Trump’s margin of victory in the state in 2016. In Pennsylvania, the number of Ukrainian-Americans is greater than Trump’s margin of victory in that state in 2016, and also greater than that of Biden’s margin of victory in 2020.
In other words, the votes of Ukrainian-Americans might decide whether Ukraine continues to exist.
Given the strange American electoral system, certain states matter more than others. Ukrainian-Americans are 1% of the population of Pennsylvania, and 0.5% of the population of Michigan. If Trump wins those two states, he will win the general election. If Harris wins those two states, then she will win the general election.
In Michigan, the number of Ukrainian-Americans is greater than Trump’s margin of victory in the state in 2016. In Pennsylvania, the number of Ukrainian-Americans is greater than Trump’s margin of victory in that state in 2016, and also greater than that of Biden’s margin of victory in 2020.
In other words, the votes of Ukrainian-Americans might decide whether Ukraine continues to exist.
