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Senast redigerad av Flusen 2024-08-11 kl. 02:11.
Senast redigerad av Flusen 2024-08-11 kl. 02:11.
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Senast redigerad av Flusen 2024-08-11 kl. 02:19.
Senast redigerad av Flusen 2024-08-11 kl. 02:19.
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Senast redigerad av Flusen 2024-08-11 kl. 02:37.
Senast redigerad av Flusen 2024-08-11 kl. 02:37.
Citat:
Om någon någonsin ifrågasatte om antivaxxar-patrask är komplett lågintelligenta idoter - håll inlägget ovan i minnet. Visa det gärna för era vänner och bekanta i avskräckande syfte. Håll för fanken hårt i söner och döttrar för att inte släppa in de här lågintelligenta generna i familjeträdet.Herre min jäkla skapare, hur blåsta är dessa kretiner egentligen?
Citat:
Det kommer kanske som en nyhet för lilla antivaxxar-patrasket, men man har vetat ganska länge att fertiliteten minskar. Det har den gjort i 100 år, typ. Ibland mer, ibland mindre. Något enstaka år har det gått upp, andra år har det varit en stor minskning. Ibland har det varit en stor minskning flera år i rad. Världens befolkning har ökat från om- kring 1,7 miljarder på 1950-talet till näs- tan 8 miljarder idag, och prognosen är att den ska nå omkring 11 miljarder år 2100.[/b]
https://www.iffs.se/media/23633/poli...r_2022-2sv.pdf
Jävla rekonstruerad statlig forskningsstatistik,
Skulle jag lita på dom? Samma liga som pushade vaccinet?
Det ligger givetvis i statens högsta intresse att fabricera statistiken för att släta ut biverkningarna av vaccinet, läs lite världsmedia om hur barnafödandet minskat drastiskt över hela världen sedan vaccinering lanserades och kom tillbaka,
https://www.iffs.se/media/23633/poli...r_2022-2sv.pdf
Jävla rekonstruerad statlig forskningsstatistik,
Skulle jag lita på dom? Samma liga som pushade vaccinet?
Det ligger givetvis i statens högsta intresse att fabricera statistiken för att släta ut biverkningarna av vaccinet, läs lite världsmedia om hur barnafödandet minskat drastiskt över hela världen sedan vaccinering lanserades och kom tillbaka,
Nej, din dumma jävla gås. Det kommer inte vara 11 miljarder människor år 2100. Pajas.
Inte för att jag förväntar mig att vetenskap och fakta kommer landa speciellt väl i ditt begränsade intellekt, men för vad det är värt:
Citat:
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30677-2/fulltext#seccestitle210
Findings
The global TFR in the reference scenario was forecasted to be 1·66 (95% UI 1·33–2·08) in 2100. In the reference scenario, the global population was projected to peak in 2064 at 9·73 billion (8·84–10·9) people and decline to 8·79 billion (6·83–11·8) in 2100. The reference projections for the five largest countries in 2100 were India (1·09 billion [0·72–1·71], Nigeria (791 million [594–1056]), China (732 million [456–1499]), the USA (336 million [248–456]), and Pakistan (248 million [151–427]). Findings also suggest a shifting age structure in many parts of the world, with 2·37 billion (1·91–2·87) individuals older than 65 years and 1·70 billion (1·11–2·81) individuals younger than 20 years, forecasted globally in 2100. By 2050, 151 countries were forecasted to have a TFR lower than the replacement level (TFR <2·1), and 183 were forecasted to have a TFR lower than replacement by 2100. 23 countries in the reference scenario, including Japan, Thailand, and Spain, were forecasted to have population declines greater than 50% from 2017 to 2100; China's population was forecasted to decline by 48·0% (−6·1 to 68·4). China was forecasted to become the largest economy by 2035 but in the reference scenario, the USA was forecasted to once again become the largest economy in 2098. Our alternative scenarios suggest that meeting the Sustainable Development Goals targets for education and contraceptive met need would result in a global population of 6·29 billion (4·82–8·73) in 2100 and a population of 6·88 billion (5·27–9·51) when assuming 99th percentile rates of change in these drivers.
Interpretation
Our findings suggest that continued trends in female educational attainment and access to contraception will hasten declines in fertility and slow population growth. A sustained TFR lower than the replacement level in many countries, including China and India, would have economic, social, environmental, and geopolitical consequences. Policy options to adapt to continued low fertility, while sustaining and enhancing female reproductive health, will be crucial in the years to come.
...
Fertility
Modelling CCF50 versus TFR
Previous forecasting studies have forecasted TFR and then used assumed age patterns of fertility to estimate age-specific fertility rates.15, 22, 26 Forecasting declines in fertility when a nation has a TFR higher than the replacement level is fairly straightforward given the strong relationship between fertility rates of decline and variables such as maternal education and access to reproductive health services.3 However, when TFR is lower than the replacement level, trends are more complex, with several countries showing declines followed by upturns and others such as Singapore showing declines followed by stagnation at very low levels. Because females tend to delay marriage and childbirth as they become more educated and enter the labour force, the TFR as a period measure often declines and then increases, even though completed fertility over the course of a reproductive lifespan for any cohort of females is still declining or stagnant.
The global TFR in the reference scenario was forecasted to be 1·66 (95% UI 1·33–2·08) in 2100. In the reference scenario, the global population was projected to peak in 2064 at 9·73 billion (8·84–10·9) people and decline to 8·79 billion (6·83–11·8) in 2100. The reference projections for the five largest countries in 2100 were India (1·09 billion [0·72–1·71], Nigeria (791 million [594–1056]), China (732 million [456–1499]), the USA (336 million [248–456]), and Pakistan (248 million [151–427]). Findings also suggest a shifting age structure in many parts of the world, with 2·37 billion (1·91–2·87) individuals older than 65 years and 1·70 billion (1·11–2·81) individuals younger than 20 years, forecasted globally in 2100. By 2050, 151 countries were forecasted to have a TFR lower than the replacement level (TFR <2·1), and 183 were forecasted to have a TFR lower than replacement by 2100. 23 countries in the reference scenario, including Japan, Thailand, and Spain, were forecasted to have population declines greater than 50% from 2017 to 2100; China's population was forecasted to decline by 48·0% (−6·1 to 68·4). China was forecasted to become the largest economy by 2035 but in the reference scenario, the USA was forecasted to once again become the largest economy in 2098. Our alternative scenarios suggest that meeting the Sustainable Development Goals targets for education and contraceptive met need would result in a global population of 6·29 billion (4·82–8·73) in 2100 and a population of 6·88 billion (5·27–9·51) when assuming 99th percentile rates of change in these drivers.
Interpretation
Our findings suggest that continued trends in female educational attainment and access to contraception will hasten declines in fertility and slow population growth. A sustained TFR lower than the replacement level in many countries, including China and India, would have economic, social, environmental, and geopolitical consequences. Policy options to adapt to continued low fertility, while sustaining and enhancing female reproductive health, will be crucial in the years to come.
...
Fertility
Modelling CCF50 versus TFR
Previous forecasting studies have forecasted TFR and then used assumed age patterns of fertility to estimate age-specific fertility rates.15, 22, 26 Forecasting declines in fertility when a nation has a TFR higher than the replacement level is fairly straightforward given the strong relationship between fertility rates of decline and variables such as maternal education and access to reproductive health services.3 However, when TFR is lower than the replacement level, trends are more complex, with several countries showing declines followed by upturns and others such as Singapore showing declines followed by stagnation at very low levels. Because females tend to delay marriage and childbirth as they become more educated and enter the labour force, the TFR as a period measure often declines and then increases, even though completed fertility over the course of a reproductive lifespan for any cohort of females is still declining or stagnant.
Herregud...
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Senast redigerad av korrektamund0 2024-08-11 kl. 12:58.
Senast redigerad av korrektamund0 2024-08-11 kl. 12:58.
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Senast redigerad av korrektamund0 2024-08-12 kl. 00:49.
Senast redigerad av korrektamund0 2024-08-12 kl. 00:49.
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