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Possible operation situation developments:
The occupiers will try to advance further into the residential areas of Vovchansk, move towards Starytsya, and encroach upon the neighborhoods of Lyptsi and Ternova.
The enemy will be escalating efforts in the near future. Reserves from the 30th and 41st Motorized Rifle Regiments of the 72nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 44th Army Corps are concentrating in the Rzhavets – Shebekino – Nova Tavilzhanka – Bezludivka area for this purpose.
In the near future, the enemy will launch an invasion from the territory of Kursk Oblast with the forces of the 128th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade, supported by units of the 11th Army Corps, in the general direction towards Velyka Pysarivka.
Expect enemy capture of Synkivka soon, along with intense rear-guard actions north of Kupyansk's eastern outskirts, for Stepova Novoselivka, Pishchane, and Berestove.
The enemy's objective is to reach the Hlyboke-Lukyantsi line to create conditions for advancing towards Lyptsi. In the area of Vovchansk, the enemy will attempt to advance along the Siversky Donets from north to south and bypass Vovchansk from the southwest and south through Synelnykove and Tsehelne.
The adversary may concentrate additional assault units in the advance zone of the 98th Airborne Division, where it previously managed to advance closest to the Chasiv Yar boundary. It will attempt to break through on May 10-11 along two axes: in the advance zone of the 217th Airborne Regiment of the 98th Airborne Division towards the "Kanal" neighborhood and in the advance zone of the 331st Airborne Regiment of the 98th Airborne Division towards the "Novyi" neighborhood.
The adversary may attempt to bypass Chasiv Yar without directly assaulting the city, by operating from the south and southeast, while simultaneously forming a northern flank for the Toretsk operation.
The "Center" Operational Grouping command is focused on executing the following operational plan: to establish conditions for the blockade and encirclement of the Kurakhove area or to create advantageous circumstances for launching an offensive operation to encircle "Tavriya" OSG’s defense in Toretsk area from the south.
The enemy's "Vostok" Operational Grouping is gearing up for active operations on the southern flank of the Kurakhove-Vuhledar bulge of the Ukrainian Defense Forces in coordination with the left flank of the "Yug" Operational Grouping, which is currently attempting to break through towards Kurakhove through Hryhorivka and Paraskoviivka-Kostyantynivka along the Vovcha and Sukhi Yaly Rivers.
The isolation or complete capture of Kostyantynivka will significantly impair the Defense Forces' ability to maintain the frontline in the southern part of Donetsk Oblast, as it will disrupt the main logistical route along Highway N-20.
https://cdsdailybrief.substack.com/p/russias-war-on-ukraine-130524
