Citat:
Ursprungligen postat av
Swordomer
The Return of Industrial Warfare, Alex Vershinin, 17 June 2022:
https://www.rusi.org/explore-our-res...strial-warfare
Några utdrag:
The war in Ukraine has proven that the age of industrial warfare is still here. The massive consumption of equipment, vehicles and ammunition requires a large-scale industrial base for resupply – quantity still has a quality of its own. The mass scale combat has pitted 250,000 Ukrainian soldiers, together with 450,000 recently mobilized citizen soldiers against about 200,000 Russian and separatist troops. The effort to arm, feed and supply these armies is a monumental task. Ammunition resupply is particularly onerous.
This reality should be a concrete warning to Western countries, who have scaled down military industrial capacity and sacrificed scale and effectiveness for efficiency. This strategy relies on flawed assumptions about the future of war, and has been influenced by both the bureaucratic culture in Western governments and the legacy of low-intensity conflicts. Currently, the West may not have the industrial capacity to fight a large-scale war.
A country must either have the manufacturing capacity to build massive quantities of ammunition or have other manufacturing industries that can be rapidly converted to ammunition production. Unfortunately, the West no longer seems to have either. ... In a recent war game involving US, UK and French forces, UK forces exhausted national stockpiles of critical ammunition after eight days. ... Lockheed Martin produces about 2,100 missiles a year, though this number might ramp up to 4,000 in a few years. Ukraine claims to use 500 Javelin missiles every day.
The expenditure of cruise missiles and theatre ballistic missiles is just as massive. The Russians have fired between 1,100 and 2,100 missiles. The US currently purchases 110 PRISM, 500 JASSM and 60 Tomahawk cruise missiles annually, meaning that in three months of combat, Russia has burned through four times the US annual missile production.
Verkligen starka argument varför Ryssarna aldrig i helvetet kommer att kunna vinna det här kriget.
Ryssarna har alltså bränt av 4 ggr fler missiler som USA, med sin höga produktionskapacitet, kan tillverka.
Och detta, i ett land som producerar maximalt 2 stridsvagnar per år och i övrigt är i total avsaknad av industriell produktionskapacitet.
Gissar att ryssarnas produktion av missiler och motsvarande ligger på maximalt en tiondel av USA:s. alltså typ 100-200 per år.
Det blir inte roligt för ryssarna om ett par år, när man tömt ut alla sina missiler och granater på ett 30-tal småstäder i östra Ukraina, utan att ha vunnit ett skit.
