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Ursprungligen postat av
0rganet
Läsvärd artikel från idag om de aktuella förtidsrösterna av Michael McDonald Prof. University of Florida och som handhar sajten där vi får alla förtidssiffror från:
https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/Early_Vote_Analysis_10_18.html
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Again, maybe Republicans start voting in-person over the next two weeks. If I were running a campaign, I’d much prefer to be the one where I’ve already banked millions of votes more than my opponent.
Vidare skriver han:
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The pace typically picks up again the last week prior to the election, particularly as younger voters get into the mix
Ja, det är förvånansvärt få som är 'undecided' i år, det blocket är försvinnande litet tycker många, vilket är lite missvisande; men av de som ändå är det, så visar mätningar från välrenommerade mätinstitut att unga som 3rd party väljare föredrar Biden i mycket större utsträckning...och de är alltså på väg ut nu för att göra sin röst hörd. Watch out Texans!
Gen Z eligible voters reflect the growing racial and ethnic diversity of U.S. electorate
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In raw numbers, there are more than 23 million eligible Gen Z voters this year, about 16 million more than could vote in the 2016 election; more than 63 million Millennials are eligible to vote this year; Three-in-ten Gen Z eligible voters cast ballots in the 2018 midterm election – lower than the share of Millennial eligible voters who turned out (42%) and substantially below the rate for all eligible voters (53%).
The Texas electorate is changing – but could Biden really flip the state?
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But the enthusiasm among the younger voters we do speak to here is palpable. Many are first-generation immigrants and are motivated to turn up by Trump’s hardline immigration policies that have seen children separated from their families and the partial construction of a wall at the southern border.
“It breaks me,” says one first-year student as she registers to vote. “My mum crossed the border herself.”
Why Asian American voters in Texas may hold outsized importance in key races this year
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In Texas, there are sizable Asian American communities in districts that hold an outsized importance this year. Democrats are hopeful that they can flip nine seats in the state House to gain a majority in the lower chamber ahead of next year’s legislative session; Now, a large chunk identify as Democrats, with 54% saying they plan to back former Vice President Joe Biden and 30% saying they’d vote for Trump.
“When Donald Trump uses language like the ‘Wuhan Virus,’ ‘Chinese Virus’ or ‘Kung Flu,’ that doesn’t just put Chinese Americans in danger — that puts all Asian Americans in danger,” Wu said, “because nobody knows the difference between someone who’s Chinese and Vietnamese, and no one cares.”
Då har jag utelämnat ett par grupper som pollar dåligt för Trump. Framförallt syftar jag på unga kvinnor med utbildning som är extra hårt ansatta av pandemin. De kan mycket väl avgöra allt. Suburban women voters överlag, de har som bekant, visat sig vara särskilt svårflörtade en tid nu:
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Democrats say the diversification of the suburbs and a focus on key issues such as health care, as well as drawing on their own backgrounds to relate to their would-be constituents, are key to their growing popularity in the state.
“For years, one of the drivers of suburban growth were whites in the older inner-city areas moving out, and they were usually making these areas increasingly conservative and Republican; That’s pretty much over in Dallas, Houston and Austin Now the suburban growth is driven by minorities moving out.”
Experts say that the influx of African Americans, Hispanics and Asians to the state’s suburbs could prove to be bad news for Republicans in November due to Trump’s presence at the top of the ticket.
“Those voters were not particularly Democratic, but they’re sure anti-Trump, that’s been one of the factors that has accelerated this shift in the suburbs.”
Changing suburbs threaten GOP hold on Texas
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Ursprungligen postat av
zergrush
Yes! Texas är IMO den mest intressanta delstaten i år, by far! Det är så talande när man tittar på svingtalen, de är inget mindre än fantastiska! Anticool läsning för Trumpers, ögongodis för oss andra:
Here's how many Texans have voted early in the 2020 general election
(FB) Presidentvalet 2020