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Ursprungligen postat av
Haddock93
Undrar om svensken efter 100.000 döda fortfarande dyrkar Tegnell och tycker att regeringen gjort ett bra jobb att stoppa smittan.
Finns det fler nya rapporter än denna i ämnet? Vore ju intressant att läsa andras slutsatser också.
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Intervention strategies against COVID-19 and their estimated impact on Swedish healthcare capacity”
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Main outcome measures: Estimated acute care and intensive care hospitalisations, COVID-19 attributable deaths, and infections among healthcare workers from 10 April until 29 June.
Findings: Our model for Sweden shows that, under conservative epidemiological parameter estimates, the current Swedish public-health strategy will result in a peak intensive-care load in May that exceeds pre-pandemic capacity by over 40-fold, with a median mortality of 96,000 (95% CI 52,000 to 183,000). The most stringent public-health measures examined are predicted to reduce mortality by approximately three-fold. Intensive-care load at the peak could be reduced by over two-fold with a shorter period at peak pandemic capacity.
Conclusions: Our results predict that, under conservative epidemiological parameter estimates, current measures in Sweden will result in at least 40-fold over-subscription of pre- pandemic Swedish intensive care capacity, with 15.8 percent of Swedish healthcare workers unable to work at the pandemic peak. Modifications to ICU admission criteria from international norms would further increase mortality.”
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.11.20062133v1.full.pdf
