Citat:
Ursprungligen postat av
VitruvianskeMannen
Intressant reflektion hur omvärlden ser på Sverige:
https://www.expressen.se/nyheter/coronaviruset/brittiska-medier-om-sverige-och-coronaviruset/
Man inser också hur sanslöst laddad denna fråga håller på att bli, inte minst inrikes. Om Sverige går in en katastrof med kollapsad sjukvård osv, så blir ju detta helt samhällsomstörtande. Klyftan mellan folk och regering/myndigheter kommer att bli irreparabel.
Därför kommer århundradets propagandaapparat att gå igång, och det är nog den vi ser sedan slutet av förra veckan.
Alltså jag fattar fortfarande inte din prognos om Italien. Inte den om Sverige heller. Räknar du med de rapporterade siffrorna, eller har du lagt till ett mörkertal???
""Italy: the real number of COVID-19 cases in the country could be 5,000,0000 (compared to the 119,827 confirmed ones) according to a study which polled people with symptoms who have not been tested, and up to 10,000,000 or even 20,0000,000 after taking into account asymptomatic cases, according to Carlo La Vecchia, a Professor of Medical Statistics and Epidemiology at the Statale di Milano University.
This number would still be insufficient to reach herd immunity, which would require 2/3 of the population (about 40,000,000 people in Italy) having contracted the virus [source].
The number of deaths could also be underestimated by 3/4 (in Italy as well as in other countries) [source], meaning that the real number of deaths in Italy could be around 60,000.
If these estimates were true, the mortality rate from COVID-19 would be much lower (around 25 times less) than the case fatality rate based solely on laboratory-confirmed cases and deaths, since it would be underestimating cases (the denominator) by a factor of about 1/100 and deaths by a factor of 1/4.""