Citat:
Ursprungligen postat av
zorceus
Jag tänker inte gå igenom en inklistrad kopierad text på engelska i detalj, vill du diskutera saker så använd riktade argument i sakfrågan på svenska
Men jag har markerat ett antal svagheter i texten, som visar hur värdelös analysen i stort är.
Of course, every model at this moment in time is an estimation. Even when all the numbers are stated, they will still only be estimations. But when a large consensus of governments around the world and their expertise that advises them lands on a ~1% IFR, and closed population studies support the numbers, one can begin to accept that’s where we’ll end up. Of course the CFR will vary now hospitals have collapsed and drugs are running out, because nobody can predict an exact number without extensive modeling based hospital-to-hospital, which is why I defer to greater men than I on the numbers.
The Imperial College produced the report that shifted the UK and US policy, they are an institution with a great amount of prestige in epidemiology. While their numbers can theoretically be wildly incorrect, the fact a large number of other virologists have come to the same conclusions supports the fact that they are correct.
