Citat:
Takk for informasjon og linker! 
Gjelder dette også de som utvikler svært milde symptomer?
Hvis det stemmer at Den som utvecklar symtom av covid-19 löper en 1,4% risk att dö, og man tar med alle smittede som ikke utvikler symptom i det regnestykket, så vil % risk for å dø hvis man er smittet, være en god del lavere enn 1,4.
Gjelder dette også de som utvikler svært milde symptomer?
Hvis det stemmer at Den som utvecklar symtom av covid-19 löper en 1,4% risk att dö, og man tar med alle smittede som ikke utvikler symptom i det regnestykket, så vil % risk for å dø hvis man er smittet, være en god del lavere enn 1,4.
Jag tror inte det är någon som vet idag hur många asymtomatiska bärare det finns. Det finns en gammal studie som räknade dom infekterade ombord på diamond princess och data från Kina som beräknade cfr till 0,7% med asymtomatiska bärare.
Citat:
As of February 20, tests of most of the 3,711 people aboard the Diamond Princess confirmed that 634, or 17 percent, had the virus; 328 of them did not have symptoms at the time of diagnosis. Of those with symptoms, the fatality ratio was 1.9 percent, Russell and colleagues calculate. Of all infected, that ratio was 0.91 percent. Those 70 and older were most vulnerable, with an overall fatality ratio of about 7.3 percent.
Extrapolating those numbers to China, the team estimates that 1.1 percent of symptomatic cases there turned deadly. Considering asymptomatic cases drops that ratio to about 0.5 percent in China, the team calculates.
These ratios depend on available health care and public health measures, Russell cautions. And there are still uncertainties in the data, he notes. For example, some patients initially counted as asymptomatic may later develop symptoms, or even die. So the true fatality rate may be somewhat higher, “0.6 or 0.7 [percent], but it’s still a good ratio.”
Extrapolating those numbers to China, the team estimates that 1.1 percent of symptomatic cases there turned deadly. Considering asymptomatic cases drops that ratio to about 0.5 percent in China, the team calculates.
These ratios depend on available health care and public health measures, Russell cautions. And there are still uncertainties in the data, he notes. For example, some patients initially counted as asymptomatic may later develop symptoms, or even die. So the true fatality rate may be somewhat higher, “0.6 or 0.7 [percent], but it’s still a good ratio.”
källa:
https://www.sciencenews.org/article/coronavirus-outbreak-diamond-princess-cruise-ship-death-rate 23 Mars 2020
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Senast redigerad av singularitet 2020-03-23 kl. 06:57.
Senast redigerad av singularitet 2020-03-23 kl. 06:57.
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