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Senast redigerad av Tarstan 2017-07-03 kl. 14:55.
Senast redigerad av Tarstan 2017-07-03 kl. 14:55.
Justice Kennedy sager sjalv nu att han overvager att pensionera sig: 
"But it is unlikely that Kennedy will remain on the court for the full four years of the Trump presidency. While he long ago hired his law clerks for the coming term, he has not done so for the following term (beginning Oct. 2018), and has let applicants for those positions know he is considering retirement.
Kennedy’s position on the court is more than consequential. In the most hotly contested and closely divided cases, his vote often decides the outcome. With every passing day, it has become more clear that President Trump’s first Supreme Court nominee, Neil Gorsuch, is probably even more conservative than the justice he replaced, Antonin Scalia."
"This would put Justice Kennedy’s retirement right before the 2018 midterms, giving the Republican base reasons to turn out and keep the Senate with a Republican majority (already a strong possibility in 2018)."
http://electionlawblog.org/?p=93506
"But it is unlikely that Kennedy will remain on the court for the full four years of the Trump presidency. While he long ago hired his law clerks for the coming term, he has not done so for the following term (beginning Oct. 2018), and has let applicants for those positions know he is considering retirement.
Kennedy’s position on the court is more than consequential. In the most hotly contested and closely divided cases, his vote often decides the outcome. With every passing day, it has become more clear that President Trump’s first Supreme Court nominee, Neil Gorsuch, is probably even more conservative than the justice he replaced, Antonin Scalia."
"This would put Justice Kennedy’s retirement right before the 2018 midterms, giving the Republican base reasons to turn out and keep the Senate with a Republican majority (already a strong possibility in 2018)."
http://electionlawblog.org/?p=93506
Snart så är det dags för den liberala mardrömmen:
'Your worst nightmare: a successful Donald Trump presidency'
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/jul/03/donald-trump-winning-oval-office-twitter
'Your worst nightmare: a successful Donald Trump presidency'
Citat:
As the president seizes on policy wins and seeks to turn the Russia spotlight on Obama and the press, some experts say liberals are in for a rude awakening
/.../
But politics, after all, is often a battle of perceptions. Niall Ferguson, a British historian and senior fellow at the Hoover Institution in Stanford, California, said in May: “I think one of the things Guardian readers, and their counterparts on the American coasts, don’t want to think about is the possibility that despite his obvious ineptitude, Trump might actually be successful.
“I said last summer to a bunch of liberal friends, ‘Your worst nightmare is not a Trump presidency; it’s a successful Trump presidency.’ The successful Trump presidency scenario is one in which, despite it all, the economy does better thanks to deregulation and tax cuts, foreign policy delivers some big wins on North Korea, the Middle East.
/.../
But politics, after all, is often a battle of perceptions. Niall Ferguson, a British historian and senior fellow at the Hoover Institution in Stanford, California, said in May: “I think one of the things Guardian readers, and their counterparts on the American coasts, don’t want to think about is the possibility that despite his obvious ineptitude, Trump might actually be successful.
“I said last summer to a bunch of liberal friends, ‘Your worst nightmare is not a Trump presidency; it’s a successful Trump presidency.’ The successful Trump presidency scenario is one in which, despite it all, the economy does better thanks to deregulation and tax cuts, foreign policy delivers some big wins on North Korea, the Middle East.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/jul/03/donald-trump-winning-oval-office-twitter
Den relevanta tidsperioden är i första hand till nästa senat konstitueras. Blir det demokratisk majoritet efter valen 2018 har jag svårt att se hur den skulle acceptera någon annan Trump-nominering än Merrick Garland. Nu tror jag visserligen inte att demsen återtar senaten 2018 då de försvarar alldeles för många platser, men blir det ett wave election kan det gå hur som helst.
Citat:
Justice Kennedy sager sjalv nu att han overvager att pensionera sig:
"But it is unlikely that Kennedy will remain on the court for the full four years of the Trump presidency. While he long ago hired his law clerks for the coming term, he has not done so for the following term (beginning Oct. 2018), and has let applicants for those positions know he is considering retirement.
Kennedy’s position on the court is more than consequential. In the most hotly contested and closely divided cases, his vote often decides the outcome. With every passing day, it has become more clear that President Trump’s first Supreme Court nominee, Neil Gorsuch, is probably even more conservative than the justice he replaced, Antonin Scalia."
"This would put Justice Kennedy’s retirement right before the 2018 midterms, giving the Republican base reasons to turn out and keep the Senate with a Republican majority (already a strong possibility in 2018)."
http://electionlawblog.org/?p=93506
"But it is unlikely that Kennedy will remain on the court for the full four years of the Trump presidency. While he long ago hired his law clerks for the coming term, he has not done so for the following term (beginning Oct. 2018), and has let applicants for those positions know he is considering retirement.
Kennedy’s position on the court is more than consequential. In the most hotly contested and closely divided cases, his vote often decides the outcome. With every passing day, it has become more clear that President Trump’s first Supreme Court nominee, Neil Gorsuch, is probably even more conservative than the justice he replaced, Antonin Scalia."
"This would put Justice Kennedy’s retirement right before the 2018 midterms, giving the Republican base reasons to turn out and keep the Senate with a Republican majority (already a strong possibility in 2018)."
http://electionlawblog.org/?p=93506
Citat:
Justice Kennedy sager sjalv nu att han overvager att pensionera sig:
"But it is unlikely that Kennedy will remain on the court for the full four years of the Trump presidency. While he long ago hired his law clerks for the coming term, he has not done so for the following term (beginning Oct. 2018), and has let applicants for those positions know he is considering retirement.
Kennedy’s position on the court is more than consequential. In the most hotly contested and closely divided cases, his vote often decides the outcome. With every passing day, it has become more clear that President Trump’s first Supreme Court nominee, Neil Gorsuch, is probably even more conservative than the justice he replaced, Antonin Scalia."
"This would put Justice Kennedy’s retirement right before the 2018 midterms, giving the Republican base reasons to turn out and keep the Senate with a Republican majority (already a strong possibility in 2018)."
http://electionlawblog.org/?p=93506
"But it is unlikely that Kennedy will remain on the court for the full four years of the Trump presidency. While he long ago hired his law clerks for the coming term, he has not done so for the following term (beginning Oct. 2018), and has let applicants for those positions know he is considering retirement.
Kennedy’s position on the court is more than consequential. In the most hotly contested and closely divided cases, his vote often decides the outcome. With every passing day, it has become more clear that President Trump’s first Supreme Court nominee, Neil Gorsuch, is probably even more conservative than the justice he replaced, Antonin Scalia."
"This would put Justice Kennedy’s retirement right before the 2018 midterms, giving the Republican base reasons to turn out and keep the Senate with a Republican majority (already a strong possibility in 2018)."
http://electionlawblog.org/?p=93506
Han är nyckeln till om Trump ska få igenom sin budget med Muren.
Avgå gubbjäveln.
Citat:
Den relevanta tidsperioden är i första hand till nästa senat konstitueras. Blir det demokratisk majoritet efter valen 2018 har jag svårt att se hur den skulle acceptera någon annan Trump-nominering än Merrick Garland. Nu tror jag visserligen inte att demsen återtar senaten 2018 då de försvarar alldeles för många platser, men blir det ett wave election kan det gå hur som helst.
Om ACA dör eller det blir mycket 'snällare' än det är nu kommer nog Dems att förlora.
Trump borde låta Obamacare bli och lyfta upp avregleringarna, snara segrar över CNN och ISIS (troligen innan midterms, iaf delvis) samt MuslimBan/migrationen där han faktiskt är ganska framgångsrik.
Light-höger + Obamacare + Gorsuch och ? + anti-invandring + anti-ljugmedia = winning
Citat:
Om ACA dör eller det blir mycket 'snällare' än det är nu kommer nog Dems att förlora.
Trump borde låta Obamacare bli och lyfta upp avregleringarna, snara segrar över CNN och ISIS (troligen innan midterms, iaf delvis) samt MuslimBan/migrationen där han faktiskt är ganska framgångsrik.
Light-höger + Obamacare + Gorsuch och ? + anti-invandring + anti-ljugmedia = winning
Trump borde låta Obamacare bli och lyfta upp avregleringarna, snara segrar över CNN och ISIS (troligen innan midterms, iaf delvis) samt MuslimBan/migrationen där han faktiskt är ganska framgångsrik.
Light-höger + Obamacare + Gorsuch och ? + anti-invandring + anti-ljugmedia = winning
Han är på tok för fokuserad på att montera ner allt som bär kopplingar till Obama för att kunna låta AcA vara ifred
Jag tror också att AHCA/BCRA skulle kosta GOP oerhört 2018 och 2020. Dean Heller (omval 2018 i Nevada - en Medicaid expansion-stat) fattade det och la in backen.
Jag är faktiskt lätt chockad över hur klumpigt GOP har målat in sig i det här hörnet.
Jag är faktiskt lätt chockad över hur klumpigt GOP har målat in sig i det här hörnet.
Citat:
Om ACA dör eller det blir mycket 'snällare' än det är nu kommer nog Dems att förlora.
Trump borde låta Obamacare bli och lyfta upp avregleringarna, snara segrar över CNN och ISIS (troligen innan midterms, iaf delvis) samt MuslimBan/migrationen där han faktiskt är ganska framgångsrik.
Light-höger + Obamacare + Gorsuch och ? + anti-invandring + anti-ljugmedia = winning
Trump borde låta Obamacare bli och lyfta upp avregleringarna, snara segrar över CNN och ISIS (troligen innan midterms, iaf delvis) samt MuslimBan/migrationen där han faktiskt är ganska framgångsrik.
Light-höger + Obamacare + Gorsuch och ? + anti-invandring + anti-ljugmedia = winning
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