Citat:
An interesting study on Vo, in Italy.
One of the main takeaways:
"Notably, 43.2% (95% CI 32.2-54.7%) of the confirmed SARSCoV-2 infections detected across the two surveys were asymptomatic."
"Notably, all asymptomatic individuals never developed symptoms, in the interval between the first and the second survey, and high proportion of them cleared the infection."
“We found no statistically significant difference in the viral load (as measured by genome equivalents inferred from cycle threshold data) of symptomatic versus asymptomatic infections (p-values 0.6 and 0.2 for E and RdRp genes, respectively, Exact Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney test.)”
Asymptomatics make up a large portion of infected as predicted — but the fact that their viral load is equivalent to symptomatic spreaders is incredibly dangerous for us. This means asymptomatic carriers are equally able to spread the virus.
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.17.20053157v1
One of the main takeaways:
"Notably, 43.2% (95% CI 32.2-54.7%) of the confirmed SARSCoV-2 infections detected across the two surveys were asymptomatic."
"Notably, all asymptomatic individuals never developed symptoms, in the interval between the first and the second survey, and high proportion of them cleared the infection."
“We found no statistically significant difference in the viral load (as measured by genome equivalents inferred from cycle threshold data) of symptomatic versus asymptomatic infections (p-values 0.6 and 0.2 for E and RdRp genes, respectively, Exact Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney test.)”
Asymptomatics make up a large portion of infected as predicted — but the fact that their viral load is equivalent to symptomatic spreaders is incredibly dangerous for us. This means asymptomatic carriers are equally able to spread the virus.
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.17.20053157v1
Bumping this again. This study is recent and pokes enormous holes in our methods. It claims that not only do asymptomatic carriers make up 40% of infections, but that they carry an equally large viral load as symptomatic carriers. Even if all our elderly homes followed the recommendations to the letter and took extra precautions, it’d still be ggwp. Huge blow to Tegnell’s strategy and our chances.
Couple this with the recent aerosol studies where they note that not only is COVID19 incredibly durable at remaining active in the air, it’s more infectious than we thought, laying evidence this is an airborne virus spread in tight areas simply by breathing. I can find those studies if anybody is interested in reading them.
