Ryssland startar våroffensiv. (Mars 2026)

The fighting for Kostiantynivka is entering its final phase

According to a soldier with the call sign “Muchnoi,” an exhausting struggle is underway in the urban area, where individual neighborhoods and buildings can change hands several times a day, and the main objective has become driving out the enemy rather than holding a continuous line of defense.

Russian forces are infiltrating Kostiantynivka, pressure growing on Sloviansk-Kramatorsk front – DeepState

Details: DeepState said that while Russian forces are pressing their infantry assault on Kostiantynivka, they are simultaneously using artillery and guided aerial bombs to destroy the city. The surrounding urban area is also under constant attack, and Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka and Druzhkivka are gradually being reduced to ruins. They warn that it is currently extremely dangerous to be there.

Försvarslinjen svackar vid Kostiantynivka. Staden är nu en ruin, manskapet lågt, låg logistik.
Ryssarna pressar sig djupare och djupare in allt eftersom deras utnötningsattacker bryter ned Ukrainska befästningar.

Om slaget om Kostiantynivka fortsätter i denna bana kommer Putin sannolikt hålla den deadline han utlovat om att överta staden i Augusti.

Trots de höga ryska förlusterna vid Pokrovsk har de nu nåt framgång. De har lyckats kväva tillräckligt av försörjningsleden för att försätta befästningsbältet, Slovyansk, Kramatorsk, Druzhkivka, och Kostiantynivka, i kritiskt låga nivåer av logistik.

I skrivande stund tar inskränker de mer av försörjningsleden.

Enemy advances in Pokrovsk direction – DeepState

The enemy has advanced near the village of Zapovidne (formerly Nikanorivka) in Shakhivska community of Pokrovsky district of Donetsk region, the OSINT project of DeepState reported.

According to the project’s maps, the area of ​​territory under occupier control in Pokrovsk direction has increased by 0.57 square kilometers, while the area of ​​the penetration zone (the "gray zone") has grown by 2.01 square kilometers.

Russia is massing for Dobropillia again using quad bikes and motorcycles, Ukraine’s National Guard says

Russia readies its next push toward Dobropillia
In the brigade's area of responsibility, Russian troops are getting ready to intensify offensive operations, the report says. They are running aerial reconnaissance and trying to clear mines from routes to move assault groups forward. Those groups lean on quad bikes—four-wheeled all-terrain vehicles—and motorcycles. This kind of transport will likely become one of the main ways the enemy tries to break the defense, the brigade said.

Russia has spent this stretch of the war trying to break out toward Dobropillia, a gateway to Kramatorsk and Sloviansk in the free northern Donbas. Its main aim on this axis remains reaching the town, which sits north of the ruins of Pokrovsk.

Ryssland har inte lagt allt krut på Kostiantynivka och Pokrovsk. De har har haft en extensiv bombningskampanj som intensifierats allt eftersom de intagit Kostiantynivka mot de resterande befästningsstäderna. Målet är att bana vägen för att uppehålla momentum efter Kostiantynivka faller.

Russia is preparing campaign in Sloviansk-Kramatorsk area and is attempting to break through defences near Kostiantynivka, - DeepState

"Unfortunately, the Katsaps have fire control extending approximately 40 km inland from the Luhansk-Donetsk front line, which poses a major threat to any movement. The Sloviansk-Kramatorsk conurbation is gradually becoming an isolated area, which will soon only be accessible in cases of critical necessity for combat operations. Life in these cities is becoming extremely dangerous, and the technological war is gaining the upper hand more and more. The enemy is gradually redeploying its forces for the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk campaign, and is beginning it by destroying everything in the surrounding area. According to statistics, intercepted and destroyed drones are more frequently the primary target than katsaps' infantry. Whilst there has been success in reducing the use of Russian infantry – as the Russians are dying in large numbers – technology is now emerging as a new challenge," the project’s analysts conclude.

Dramatic Photo Highlights Uptick In Drone Attacks In Ukraine's Kramatorsk

Since early July, Russian drone teams have reportedly ramped up FPV drone attacks on the city, including by landing “waiter” drones on isolated rooftops under cover of night. The stationary drones conserve batteries until dawn then watch for potential targets that often have little time to react when the drones take off and attack.

Har Ukrainas försvar trots rapporterna ändå inhiberat Putins ambitioner i Donetsk?

What the Fall of Kostiantynivka Would Mean for the Ukraine War

The eastern Ukrainian city of Kostiantynivka is likely to fall to Russia in the coming weeks, but Russian forces will struggle to advance much farther into the Donbas. As a result, Russia will lean harder on an aerial bombardment campaign that is unlikely to break Kyiv's resolve but will make this winter the war's harshest yet. [...]

Even if Russia were to seize Kostiantynivka in the coming weeks, its capture would not mean that the rest of the Donbas will fall anytime soon, as Moscow lacks the infantry to advance faster without ordering a politically risky broader mobilization.

Analytiker menar att Putin inte har kött kvar att pressa in i kvarnen efter Kostiantynivka eventuella fall.
Jag är inte så säker på att det är realiteten...

Ryssland förbereder sig för ytterligare ännu en mobilisering.

Putin plans to quietly ramp up mobilization in October, Zelenskyy warns

"He will do this in early October unless we create problems for him regarding logistics, weapons, gasoline, and diesel, and unless our partners impose total sanctions for his aggression," Zelenskyy stressed.

"This will become a major problem because he plans to mobilize between 300 and 500k people," the president added.

First Mobilization Wave Ongoing as Second Wave Discussion Intensifies

Executive Summary:

- The Russian-language information space has widely discussed the possibility of a second mobilization wave in autumn over recent weeks. This assessment is supported by Russia’s front line personnel shortages and new measures meant to improve military recruitment.

- Growing evidence indicates that the first mobilization decree from September 2022—which has not been legally ended—is continuing in practice, and that legislative changes designed to simplify mobilization are already being applied.

- Authorities are increasingly pressuring conscripts and civilians into signing military contracts through coercion, blurring the lines between conscription, contract-soldier recruitment, and wartime mobilization.

Om Ukraina håller Donetsk i år kan det vara det som bräcker ryska folkets opinion om Putin. Han kommer göra vad som krävs för att erövra oblasten för att själv inte gå under.

Jag ser ingen realistisk väg där utfallet blir att Ukraina behåller territorierna i Donetsk i år. Annat än en utländsk intervention eller massmobilisering och återvandring av krigsförbara män.

(FB) Ryssland startar våroffensiv. (Mars 2026)

På drönar/smart missil fronten har utvecklingen lutat till Rysslands fördel.

Det handlar framförallt om att väst inte levererar Patriot-typ av luftvärnsmissiler.

Vad jag skrivit om det tidigare: (FB) Ryssland startar våroffensiv. (Mars 2026) , (FB) Ryssland startar våroffensiv. (Mars 2026)

Ukraine’s New Defense Minister Hits Up the US, Germany and Britain for Help vs. Russian Missiles

In brief: New Defense Minister Khmara spent his first week on the job talking with allies to shore up Ukraine’s defense against ballistic missiles amid a shortage of Patriot PAC-3 interceptors; but despite more cordiality, discussions yielded no new agreement with the Trump administration on air defense help.

Det har lämnat Ukraina ytterligare sårbart gentemot Iskander missiler. Som redan under hög tillgång av patriot lyckades bryta sig igenom. Utöver det har Ryssland uppgraderat till effektivare modeller.

Russia’s Iskander-M ‘Game-Changer’ Dodges Patriot in Final Seconds, Rewriting Ukraine’s Missile-Defence War

(DEFENCE SECUURITY ASIA) — Russia’s reported software-driven modification of the 9M723 Iskander-M has transformed an already difficult quasi-ballistic target into a more unpredictable terminal threat, forcing Ukraine’s United States-supplied Patriot batteries to solve a rapidly shifting interception problem within only seconds.

Updated guidance and control logic reportedly allows the missile to follow a broadly conventional midcourse track before veering laterally, pulling upward, or entering a steeper final dive, invalidating the predicted intercept point generated moments earlier by Patriot fire-control computers.

Russia’s missile terror escalates: More and more ballistic attacks

Concentrated attacks in June and July
On the night of June 2, 2026, the Ukrainian Armed Forces detected 33 Iskander-M ballistic missiles. They were launched from the Russian regions of Bryansk, Kursk, and Rostov, as well as from the occupied Crimean Peninsula. Eleven missiles were intercepted. At the same time, eight Zircon hypersonic missiles struck their targets—none were intercepted.

Ryssland vinner på den fronten specifikt över deras förmåga att producera/inskaffa sig mer drönare snarare än att de är teknologiskt överlägsna. Utom i Iskanderfallet som tydligen klarar av att utklassa Patriot.

The Geography of Coercion: Russian Missile and Drone Campaigns in Ukraine

Analysis of Russian strikes reveals three overarching trends. First, Russia’s reported strike damage has increased over time, while the geography of damage has become more concentrated in key target areas. Second, many missile and drone attacks are aimed at logistical nodes that support Ukraine’s battlefield operations, especially in frontline and southeastern oblasts, where strategic strikes overlap with a denser ecosystem of artillery, glide bombs, FPV drones, and loitering munitions. Third, strategic industrial bases, energy infrastructure, ports, and major urban centers have become recurring targets as Russia seeks to raise the costs for Ukraine’s economy, civilians, and political leadership. [...]

Russia’s expanding missile production, and especially the growth of Shahed-type drone production, has allowed Moscow to increase strike volume, depth, and frequency. Belarus’s operational role has also given Russia more options for routing drones and complicating Ukrainian air defense.

För att korrigera underskottet försöker Zelensky att förhandla fram möjligheter att producera egna Patriot. (FB) Zelensky vill få licens för att tillverka egna Patriot luftvärn

Ukraina har gjort lyckade bombningskampanjer själva. Jag hänvisar bl.a. till (FB) Ukrainas framgångsrika attacker på ryska raffinaderier kan knäcka Ryssland/Putin? och wildberry bombningarna.

Trots detta visar det inte på någon påverkan av rysk framgång i Donetsk under sommaren. Eller Kryssarproduktionen.

Ukrainas drönarprogram har hotats av politiska intriger. (FB) Ukrainas försvarsminister, Mykhailo Fedorov, avskedas. (2026-07-15). Den avskedade försvarsministern hålls som skälet till Ukrainas effektiva drönarkrigsföring. Den dispyten är ännu inte löst.

Ukraina är fortsatt innovativa.

Ukraine Debuts High-Speed Interceptor Built to Kill Jet-Powered Shaheds

The company said the interceptor is undergoing combat trials and has already downed Iran-designed Shahed drones.

SkyFall aims to scale production to as many as 50,000 interceptors per month, with serial manufacturing expected to begin in August 2026.

De lyckas ofta med att negera de överkanter som Ryssland tar i drönarkriget när logistiken tillåter det.

Min fråga om Ukrainska drönarteknik kommer utklassa kryssarna verkar nu besvarad; de gjorde de ej.
Man kan nog vända sig mot Trumps enfaldhet i att gå i krig mot Iran och vägran innan dess att bistå Ukraina med det utlovade stödet.

Rapporter om ytterligare en befästning i Kostiantynivka har fallit.

Jag kan inte garantera ifall källan är helt pålitlig, men jag hittar inget som motsäger den.

Chasiv Yar's fall in Donbas fighting opens the road to Sloviansk and Kramatorsk

Chasiv Yar's fall comes shortly after the collapse of the Ukrainian defence of the crucial “fortress belt” stronghold of Kostiantynivka, the logistics hub linking the other cities in the key Ukrainian defensive line of Sloviansk, Kramatorsk and Druzhkivka — a battle IntelliNews reported as still contested as of July 19. Russia’s high command claims that Kostiantynivka has been captured, but that is still unverified by Ukrainian officials. But the loss of clear control over Kostiantynivka has cut off Chasiv Yar's supply lines and made the position untenable; further withdrawals from the neighbouring towns of Mykolaivka, Chervone and Podilske are likely soon, AMK Mapping said.

Staden var en väldigt viktig befästning för logistik, mobilitet och framförallt hade den en bra strategisk position att utföra operationer ifrån.

Den beskrivs som att utgöra ryggraden för logistik och artilleri. Att staden är högst belägen i området ger den som håller den övertag.

Det öppnar även vägen för ryssarna att flankera ytterligare befästningar, som en reva i muren där ryssen nu kan välla in.

En dominoeffekt riskerar att uppstå i och med stadens fall. Om det nu är korrekt.

Chasiv Yar under Ukrainian control, but access to city is completely closed - City Military Administration

However, Chasiv Yar remains Ukrainian. Fierce defensive battles continue in some neighborhoods of the city: the Ukrainian Defense Forces are holding back russian troops and preventing them from advancing further in the direction of Kostiantynivka.

Som jag tolkar det så innehar ingen staden just nu.

Det ryska påståendet om att de tillfångatagit staden var inte sanningsenligt. Inget förvånande där.

Men att staden har fallit stämmer. Ukraina har ingen möjlighet att vara operativa ur staden.

Märkligt detta med Kostiantynivka? Både ni rysshoror och även Putin har ju påstått att ni för flera veckor sen erövrat Kostiantynivka? Det verkar som ni fortfarande håller på och ljuger om era framsteg?

Då det gäller Dobropillia, skäms ni inte över detta fiasko i förra vecka då di förlorade över 20 stridsvagnar och hundratals soldater?

Källorna jag använder mig av är ukrainska officerare och dylika. Jag har aldrig påstått att Kostiantynivka har fallit.
Det finns ett gott skäl till att jag inte använder mig av ryska källor...

Vad kallar du mig rysshora för? Syftet med tråden är att följa loppet av offensiven.

Om du saknar händelser är det fritt fram att skriva om dem istället för att förolämpa mig.

Russia makes gains in Donetsk and Zaporizhzhya oblasts

Russian Troops Push Toward Sloviansk—Ukraine’s Counterattacks Stop Them Cold

“An officer from a Ukrainian special operations unit reported that Russian troops continue infiltrating the city and often hide in basements or destroyed buildings while waiting for reinforcements,” ISW said.

Earlier, Ukrainian forces ambushed a Russian military convoy near Novohrodivka, damaging infantry fighting vehicles, cars, and transport trucks.

Ukraine fights to hold Kostyantynivka amid Russian push

To the south, Russian troops are attempting to push toward Dobropillya to bypass Kostyantynivka, Druzhkivka, and Kramatorsk from the west. Another vulnerable sector remains the Lyman area.

Sources noted that while there are no prerequisites for a rapid operational breakthrough of the Ukrainian defense line in Donetsk Oblast, Kostyantynivka could be lost in the coming months.

Kostiantynivka står än. Men rapporterna inger inget hopp om stadens öde.

Under sommaren har Ukrainska armén succesivt förberett för att överge staden för att själva belägra den och på så viss bibehålla en intakt försvarlinje.

The Pokrovsk and Sloviansk sectors are under the heaviest pressure from Russia

The highest number of attacks is near Pokrovsk
The Pokrovsk sector remains one of the hottest spots on the front line. Since the start of the day, 18 attempts by the Russian army to push back Ukrainian defenders have been recorded here.

The enemy attacked in the areas of Kotlyne, Udachne, Rodynske, Shevchenko, Novohryshyne, and Hulyve. Russian troops also attempted to advance toward Kuchero-Yar, Vilne, Novoye Shakhovoye, and Bilitske. One combat engagement in this sector is still ongoing. In the Oleksandrivka sector, Ukrainian forces repelled three Russian attacks near Rybne.

Ukraina lyckas ännu hålla försörjningsleden öppen.

Så länge den leden hålls operativ kan Ukraina försvara Donetsk.

Russia is pressing forward on Kostiantynivka with KABs and infantry

What’s Happening with the Defense of Kostiantynivka
Pekhno believes that the Ukrainian defense of Kostiantynivka is gradually coming to an end. At the same time, he emphasized that this does not mean the city will fall suddenly. According to him, Kostiantynivka has held out for quite a long time. During this time, the Russian army has suffered significant personnel losses. “Unfortunately, we won’t be able to hold them off indefinitely as long as the Russians are able to drop KABs. This is the scenario currently unfolding in Kostiantynivka. It cannot be said that it is unexpected or catastrophically rapid,” said the military analyst.

Russians fire multiple-launch rocket system at Sloviansk, killing one and wounding five

Russian forces struck a logistics hub in Sloviansk, Donetsk region, with a “Tornado-S” multiple-launch rocket system, killing one person and wounding five others.
According to Ukrinform, Vadym Liakh, head of the Sloviansk City Military Administration, reported this on Facebook.

“On Friday, August 7, at 2:45 p.m., the enemy struck the logistics hub with a ‘Tornado-S’ MLRS. Three dozen private homes were damaged, and four cars were destroyed,” he said.

Russian forces advance near Kramatorsk and in Chasiv Yar

“The cities are being leveled to the ground through the constant use of guided aerial bombs, rocket artillery, Shaheds and FPV drones that fly through the streets and hunt people and vehicles, randomly selecting targets,” the analysts said.

“At night, the explosions simply do not stop, including from enemy multiple-launch rocket systems, which are gradually turning the cities into ruins.”

Kriget i Donetsk fortsätter i samma bana. Rapporteringen från Oblasten har varit väldigt magert senaste veckan.

Det finns inget som jag kan finna som tyder på att Ukraina kommer lyckas stoppa Ryssland i Donetsk.

Ryssland: Tagit över byar

Ryssland påstår att de övertagit Vasjutinske och Toretsk vid Kramatorsk.

Uppgifterna är inte verifierade.

De utgör ett bra utgångsläge att utföra operationer mot staden ifrån.

The Pokrovsk sector remains the hottest spot on the front line — General Staff

Where the Fighting Was Heaviest
The Russians carried out the most attacks in the Pokrovsk direction. There, the enemy attempted to advance 23 times. The occupiers attacked in the areas of Shakove and Udachne, and also attempted to advance toward Toretsk, Kucherove Yar, Bilytske, Novy Donbas, Shevchenko, Matyashove, and Novopidhorodne. As of this evening, four combat engagements in this sector were still ongoing.

According to preliminary estimates by the General Staff, 31 Russian soldiers were killed and another eight were wounded in the Pokrovsk sector over the past 24 hours. Ukrainian forces also destroyed one artillery system, an ammunition depot, 18 shelters with personnel inside, a fuel and lubricants depot, two vehicles, and two pieces of specialized equipment.

Another artillery system, two multiple-launch rocket systems, two vehicles, and 170 Russian shelters were damaged. In addition, Ukrainian forces destroyed or neutralized 364 drones of various types.

Ryssarna har ännu inte lyckats kapa försörjningsleden vid Pokrovsk, även om om Ukraina inte lyckas ta tillbaka område håller de vidare inskränkning ute.

Putin har satt hög prioritet på att kapa leden eftersom Ukrainska fästningsbältet står och faller med den.


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Kapplöpningen på drönarfronten fortsätter. Ukraina utvecklade anti-Shahed drönare, den första av sin typ om jag förstått korrekt. I och med det har de gjort ett samarbete med Frankrike för att ge dem AI navigering.

Ukrainian anti-Shahed Bullet drone to receive French AI guidance

Ukraina började massproducera dessa luftvärnsdrönare under sommaren.

Som svar på det har Ryssland utvecklat en jetdriven modell av Shaheds

"Mopeds" become a thing of the past: Russia makes "Shaheds" jet-powered. What threat does this pose to Ukraine?

However, Russia was the first to see the potential for their mass application. According to Ukrainian intelligence, Russia is already mass-producing about 500 such jet drones per month and plans to increase their share to 50% of the total number of "Shaheds."

"The cities are being leveled to the ground through the constant use of guided aerial bombs, rocket artillery, Shaheds and FPV drones", alltid kul att se hur ryZZarna ser på saken.

Måste ju kännas bra att ta över mark som är helt jämnad och minerad? Men grattis ryZZland isåfalll

Deepstate är ukrainskt.

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