Pasikiwi i DN: Ukraina besegrar kärnvapenmakten Ryssland i år (pga bla vår hjälp)

Han trodde att Ukraina kunde vinna kriget under 2023 – men frontlinjerna är i stort sett oförändrade. Nu har Sveriges mest kände överstelöjtnant börjat tvivla. ”Det ser mörkare ut nu”, säger Joakim Paasikivi i en SvD-intervju.

The US now has the smallest active-duty military since WW2

That means, after its recent Putin-announced boost, Russia now has slightly more total active duty troops than the US. This is mindblowing, as up until recently, US active duty numbers dwarfed that of Russia with nearly 1.4M active versus ~800k. Now it’s 1.2M and change for the US and over 1.3M for Russia, with a soon-to-be reached goal of 1.5M. What a shocking reversal.

Casualties, Replacements, and Reconstitutions
The Russia-Ukraine War is exposing significant vulnerabilities
in the Army’s strategic personnel depth and ability to withstand and replace
casualties.11 Army theater medical planners may anticipate a sustained
rate of roughly 3,600 casualties per day, ranging from those killed in action
to those wounded in action or suffering disease or other non-battle injuries.12
With a 25 percent predicted replacement rate, the personnel system will
require 800 new personnel each day. For context, the United States sustained
about 50,000 casualties in two decades of fighting in Iraq and Afghanistan.
In large-scale combat operations, the United States could experience that same
number of casualties in two weeks

"The scale of this war is out of proportion with all of our recent thinking," said Cavoli, who is also head of US European Command. "But it is real and we must contend with it.