Wagners "grey zone" är lite dyster över sakernas tillstånd i Kherson.
Citat:
The Wagner group channel GREY ZONE put the last nail in the coffin of Rybar’s logic by stating that the Kherson offensive (rather than a counter-offensive) started way back in May and saw a gradual increase in Ukraine’s military equipment transfers and logistics strikes, peaking around July, accompanied with smaller probing operations.
GREY ZONE shows that Ukrainians are guaranteed to attempt a large-scale Kherson offensive before the spring of 2023, and Russians at best will be able to defend Kherson, though citing their own thoughts and conversations with other fighters GREY ZONE show they do not really believe in this. They add that Russians have no chance of continuing any offensive in the region towards Mykolaiv and Kryvyi Rih:
I wanted to write this for like a month, but due to my rest, I didn’t have the time. And today I’ve already read two texts on the possibility or impossibility of giving up Kherson from colleagues “Rybar” and “Military Informant”.
I had these thoughts and beliefs back in August, and even in July. Then the enemy that is the Ukrainian army was not yet conducting a counteroffensive in the Mykolaiv-Kryvyi Rih direction. It was exactly an offensive that they were conducting since May, at least.
By mid-June, the enemy reached a peak in the transfer of heavy equipment and personnel through the Odessa region, including by delivering military transport aircraft to the Shkolny airfield. And no, contrary to official briefings, their planes were not shot down. The infrastructure of the airfield, including the terminals, was temporarily put out of action, but for the time being the airfield accepted military flights.
The Armed Forces of Ukraine continued to replenish their grouping, including with foreign weapons. Several times during the summer, namely at the beginning of July, they undertook assault actions to occupy the front-line settlements, the success was variable. The probing of the defence occurred along the entire frontline. Further, the enemy proceeded to disable our military infrastructure, warehouses and inflict harassing rocket and artillery fire, including demonstrating their presence to the civilians. Which, of course, had a different effect on two different layers – from panic to enthusiasm.
Now, having carried out two successful operations to break through our fronts in the Kherson and Kharkiv regions, having completely occupied the latter, I believe that the enemy will make another attempt to create a bridgehead by winter in the Zaporozhye region in the Huliaipole region.
After the breakthrough, if they succeed of course, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will try to stretch the occupied section first in depth, and then in breadth, which they did not quite succeed in doing in the Kherson region in the Sukhoy Stavok region, but did in the Kharkiv region in the direction of Volkhov Yar.
Also, the enemy, for some miraculous reason for them, unlike us, does not always try to smash into our fortified areas and does not hesitate to bypass them, and does not lose personnel in senseless frontal attacks. The main task for the Armed Forces of Ukraine now is to completely disrupt the supply of our group of troops on the right bank of the Dnieper, which will be equal to the withdrawal of the contingent from there and the onset of battles for Kherson. And if there is an offensive in this area, then it will come from the side of the Kakhovka reservoir, the Novovorontsovka and Osokurovka regions.
Sooner or later, this will certainly happen ,and I feel this will happen before the spring of 2023, . The recent offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Kherson region showed and proved once again that at the moment, and unfortunately, this prospect is hardly changeable, we will not have the possibility of offensive operations either on Mykolaiv or Odessa, counting on keeping Kherson in the best case scenario. With such a decline, in my humble non-professional opinion, which has also been repeatedly stated in tête-à-tête conversations, which is that our entire front will crumble in the fall, I think that the capture of these cities and the implementation of offensive operations is impossible.
