Citat:
Ursprungligen postat av
LaVerdadTodo
Annars kan man hålla sig till seriösa källor. Har inte sett någon här backat upp något mer än från OSINT-Twitter och Ukrainska MoD. Har du något substantiellt att komma med?
Här har du från en paneldiskussion som CFR arrangerat. Man diskuterar hur Ukrainakrisen kommer att sluta. The End Game alltså. Bland deltagarna var General
Stephen Twitty:
Stephen M. Twitty (born 1963) is a retired lieutenant general in the United States Army. Twitty assumed command of First United States Army on July 15, 2016,[1] relinquishing command to become deputy commander of United States European Command on 9 August 2018.[2][3] Previously, he was commanding general of Fort Bliss and the 1st Armored Division.[4] Twitty was awarded the Silver Star during Operation Iraqi Freedom. Noted for his relationship with journalist David Bloom,[5] who was embedded with his battalion during the invasion of Iraq in 2003, Twitty has served in five combat deployments, including tours in the Gulf War, Afghanistan, Iraq, and Kuwait. He has commanded at the company, battalion, and brigade level during the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. Twitty is a graduate of South Carolina State University and a member of the Omega Psi Phi fraternity. He was inducted into the South Carolina State University ROTC Hall of Fame in 2009, and selected as one of the University's Distinguished Alumni in 2004.
Twitty has a highway named in his honor, State Highway 11, running through his hometown of Chesnee, South Carolina.[6]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stephen_Twitty
och han uttryckte det så här:
TWITTY: Yeah. Richard, I’m going to give a little bit more color in terms of what I’m seeing here. I think the war in the Donbas is starting to turn to the Russians’ favor, and when you take a look at—and I’m particularly talking about the eastern part of the Donbas—the Russians have transitioned from trying to pour all their combat power into the Donbas to obliterating every single town. Whether it be Rubizhne, Lyman, they’re working now on Sievierodonetsk and Lysychansk as well, they’re obliterating these particular towns, and that’s how they’re making their headway. They’re not putting a bunch of combat power with infantry forces and tanks in there. They’ve taken all their artillery and they’re treating it like Mariupol and that’s how they’re making their headway. So they’re starting to make some headway in the eastern Donbas and so we have to watch that one closely
/.../
TWITTY: Well, as I take a look at this, you know, Secretary Austin came out that we’re going to weaken Russia. We have not really defined what weaken means, because if you take a look at the Ukrainians right now, I take a strong belief in Colin Powell’s doctrine—you overwhelm a particular enemy with force. And right now, when you take a look at Ukraine and you take a look at Russia, they’re about one to one. The only difference is Russia has a heck of a lot of combat power than the Ukrainians.
And so there’s no way that the Ukrainians will ever destroy or defeat the Russians, and so we got to really figure out what does weaken mean in the end state here. And I will also tell you, Richard, there’s no way that the Ukrainians will ever have enough combat power to kick the Russians out of Ukraine as well, and so what does that look like in the end game.
Jag ser att flera ryska medier publicerat detta idag men här har ni alltså originalkällan:
Russia's War in Ukraine: How Does it End?
Our panelists discussed the current situation in and regarding Ukraine, the goals of NATO, Russia, and Ukraine, and alternative futures.
Virtual Event by Stephen J. Hadley, Charles A. Kupchan , Alina Polyakova and Stephen M. Twitty May 31, 2022
https://www.cfr.org/event/russias-war-ukraine-how-does-it-end
Jag har själv inte läst hela transkriptionen men ska göra det under dagen.
General Twitty kommer också med denna högst intressanta kommentaren:
/.../And I also want to remind you we hear a lot about Russian casualties and Russian losses. We hear very little about Ukrainian losses, and keep in mind they’re losing soldiers throughout this war as well. They started at approximately two hundred thousand. Who knows where they are today?
Ja, var är de? Antingen har Ukraina MoD ljugit om antalet från början eller så har man haft oerhörda förluster under tiden.
Ett de har inte ljugit däremot har de inte informerat om sina förluster. Det behöver inte betyda att de har oerhörda förluster. Vi vet att Ryssarna har direkt ljugit om sina förluster vid flera tillfällen.
Nu vet jag inte vad Twitty menar "defeat". "And so there’s no way that the Ukrainians will ever destroy or defeat the Russians,"
Men det är väl ingen som tror att Ukraina ska "destroy" den ryska armen på slagfältet. Enda sättet att vinna emot Ryssland är en politisk kolaps eller att ledningen inser att kriget kommer leda till det.
Napoleon fattade det inte. AH fattade det men inte hans generaler. Till ex Japan vann inte det rysk-japanska kriget på grund av alla sina segrar utan dessa segrar och den statens inbyggda svaghet till politska svagheter. USA vann kalla kriget för det ryska politiska systemet kolapsade.
Vi ser ju politiska svagheter i det ryska systemet. De vill inte mobilisera. Varför? Ingen kan ju säga att kriget har gått lysande för Ryssland till dags datum. Dessutom verkar det som Putin har centraliserat all makt till sig. Det känns lite som Nikolaj II när han tog direkt kontroll över armen.
Om jag ska gissa, och jag gillar inte det, så förlorade Ryssland detta krig under första veckan. De har inte fattat det ännu.
