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Ursprungligen postat av
Haloumi
Inte alls omöjligt. Forskarna pratar om olika varianter av viruset i Europa, USA och Asien.
Men att du jämför dödligheten i en enda stad med hela Sveriges dödlighet är ju fel. Du får titta på hela USA och jämföra siffrorna isåfall.
Yes, there are many mutations. The SARS-COV-2 in New York was traced back to Europe. I’m comparing NYC’s results because they’ve released two antibody datasets now, with a high-enough infected rate for them to be extremely good evidence of what can be expected.
For example, their death rate today mirrors the results of their first study from last week, which revealed 21.2% infected in New York City. This is why the 0.2% death rate matters. For example, the antibody test released concerning Stockholm shows a 7.5% infection rate and a 0.75% preliminary IFR, that we can measure against next week (or longer, depending on antibody measured). These results fall in line with the preliminary IFR from the first and second New York Studies, which showed a 0.8% IFR for each.
So the deadliness doesn’t differ too much, although it will be higher in Sweden than NYC simply because Sweden has a larger share of 65+ citizens.