FN varnar: IS har placerat ut sprängmedel och planerar våg av attacker i år (2019)

IS kan enligt rapporten, som samlat information från olika länders underrättelsetjänster, redan ha särskilda mål i åtanke och ha börjat placera ut sprängmedel.

En våg av attacker kan komma före årets slut. Uppskattningsvis 30 000 av de 40 000 utländska medborgare som anslöt sig till IS uppskattas vara vid liv. Många av dem är fortfarande på fri fot.

– I Europa kommer hotet framför allt från IS-krigare som nu återvänder till sina hemländer eller ”ensamvargar” som radikaliserats eller inspirerats av IS online, säger Paul Van Tigchelt till SVT.

Efter flera högerextrema våldsdåd i utlandet varnar nu Säkerhetspolisen för upptrappat radikalnationalistiskt våld även i Sverige. Vit makt-miljön växer och risken för att ensamvargar utför attentat ökar enligt Säpo.

48. Member States assess that approximately 5,000 to 6,000 foreign terrorist fighters travelled from Europe to the conflict zone in Iraq and the Syrian Arab Republic. Of those, 75 per cent joined ISIL. Those reported killed amount to 30 to 40 per cent, while 10 to 15 per cent remain detained in the region, 10 to 15 per cent have relocated and 30 to 40 per cent have returned to Europe. Many remain unaccounted for.

Some of the suicide bombers had travelled to the Syrian Arab Republic and received weapons training from ISIL. The explosives specialists are believed to have studied ISIL methods for constructing improvised explosive devices on the Internet and tested the designs before the attacks. Ball bearings, nails and a combination of chemicals were used in the bombs. Light bulb filaments and washing machine timers were used for initiation. Despite the claim of responsibility by ISIL, Member State investigations revealed that the ISIL core did not direct or facilitate the attacks, nor did it know about them in advance. It was a locally instigated and led attack inspired by ISIL ideology. The bombings aimed to boost the global image of ISIL after its military defeat in Iraq and the Syrian Arab Republic.

According to one Member State, ISIL leaders are monitoring political developments in key Western European countries and considering attacks to exacerbate existing dissent and unrest. Member States assess that ISIL currently has little external operational planning capability, but that it retains the ambition to mount international attacks and has conducted reconnaissance activities against potential overseas targets and prepared explosives.4