Trump vs Biden aktuella opionionsundersökningar 2023/2024

Biden’s support in the poll is significantly weaker now among several groups that he previously won by wide margins and were critical to his election in 2020. Among voters younger than 35, 48% support Trump, 47% Biden. Political independents break 45% Trump to 41% Biden. Black voters favor Biden, 73%vs. Trump’s 23%, while Latino voters split 50% Biden to 46% Trump. And among voters of color generally, women divide 63% Biden to 31% Trump, while men split about evenly, 49% Trump to 46% Biden.

All of those margins reflect significant declines in support for Biden compared with 2020 exit polls. While those who actually turn out to vote are not the same as registered voters, and with a full year to go before the election, there is time for voters’ views to shift, the differences between then and now are stark. Biden won voters younger than 35 by 21 points nationally, independents by 13 points, Black voters by 75 points and Latino voters by 33 points. Among voters of color, he won both women and men by wide margins: women by 53 points, men by 34.

Trump (50-46%) and DeSantis (50-45%) have statistically insignificant 4 and 5-point advantages over Biden. Last month, Biden was up by 1 point over Trump and trailed DeSantis by just 2.
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One notable number for Trump: he hits 50% against Biden, which he’s previously never done in a Fox News survey going back to October 2015.

Plus, Trump receives record support among groups Biden needs to win re-election. Compared to the final Fox News pre-election matchup in October 2020, Trump has made gains among independents (up 21 points), Blacks (+15), Hispanics (+13), suburban voters (+8), and men (+4).
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Disapproval of Biden is at all-time highs among men (63%), voters under age 45 (62%), Hispanics (60%), voters with a college degree (57%), and Black voters (41%). Most of these groups are key to his re-election, yet they may be open to an alternative — just look at Haley’s inroads below.

Young voters are breaking from Biden, helping give Trump a narrow lead for the first time in NBC News polling,
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Trump gets support from 46% of registered voters, while Biden gets 44%.
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Yet what stands out in the new survey is the shift among voters ages 18 to 34. In September, 46% of these voters said they approved of Biden’s job performance.

Now? Biden’s approval rating dropped to 31% among these voters.
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In another low for the president, just 33% of all voters approve of Biden’s handling of foreign policy, which is down 8 points from September.
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And only 34% of all voters approve of Biden’s handling of the Israel-Hamas war, versus 56% who say they disapprove.