Nu verkar marknaden ha nyktrat till lite granna. Många teorier om varför vi fick ett kort rally följt av en dump.
Fick ett nyhetsbrev från Kai volatility som har sin förklaring på det hela:
Citat:
Chart - 44% of options volume is in 0 DTE 😲
The first innovation was weekly expirations every Friday. Then Monday and Wednesday expirations were added. And now (of course), we have daily expirations.
Volume has been trending towards shorter-dated tenors for years. Covid kicked that into high gear and in Q2 of 2020, we saw more than 20% of options volume in the 0 DTE tenor. Fast forward a few quarters, and that more than DOUBLED to 44%!
What does this trend to shorter tenors mean for the market? 🤔
Dealers are short a massive amount of gamma. Which leads to less liquidity and fatter (leptokurtic) tails.
Most of this 0DTE frenzy is on the call side though. So in addition to adding more crash risk, we’re also experiencing more melt-ups. CPI release on Tuesday is a perfect example. In a matter of hours, market gaped up 4% then gave it all back. ~$2T of wealth created and destroyed in a morning. 😲
It’s similar to the gamma squeezes we were seeing in the meme stocks (GME, AMC, etc), except it’s the entire market.
Rätt skrämmande att 44% av optionerna är så kallade fds med utgång samma dag. Dessutom ökat från 20% på ett par kvartal.
Gogge: Det där havreknäcket är lika riggat som guldpriset.