Vinnaren i pepparkakshustävlingen!
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2017-07-04, 15:47
  #85
Medlem
Och vad hände nu?

Aktien är handeslsstoppad efter ett enormt ras.
Citera
2017-07-05, 22:20
  #86
Medlem
Citat:
Ursprungligen postat av azhag
Och vad hände nu?

Aktien är handeslsstoppad efter ett enormt ras.


För att citera ett inlägg på Facebook som summerar det rätt bra:


Vilken otrolig dag. Det är väl dagar som denna man ställer klockan vattendrag.... eller?

Så vad är det som skedde idag?

• Allt startade som vanligt och vi tog oss högre kurs (igen)

• Vi blir informerade om följande artikel:
http://uk.reuters.com/article/gambia-oil-idUKL8N1JU4H7

• Börsen blir helt vild och vi går ner på nära 60% minus innan aktien blir handelsstoppad.

• Sedan kommer APCL ledningen med "svar på tal":
http://www.newsweb.no/newsweb/search...ssageId=430879

• Aktien blir av med Handelsstopp och hamnar i auction mode till stängning.

Stänger på NOK 3,70/share

Det jag finner intressant är följande:

- Det verkar bara vara Reuters som har denna informationen? Inga andra medier.

- Varför skulle Mod K. Ceesay bara säga detta utan att tillägga något mer? (Ref: artikeln)

- Varför skulle dem ut i media med detta över huvudtaget?

- APCL blir tillfrågade att kommentera men väljer att inte göra detta? (Ref: artikeln)

- Det går förhållandevis snabbt mellan artikel och APCL uttalande.

- Otroligt stora köp efter handeln är startad igen.

- Om det vore sant hade vi haft PM om detta för länge sedan. Jag har otroligt mycket mer förtroende för vår ledning än att dem skall kringgå de stadgar och regler som gäller på börsen! Eniga? Precis!

Jag känner att det är något som inte går ihop. Allt i detta inlägg är självklart spekulation (utöver de punkter vi vet har skett!) men det känns, och då menar jag verkligen bara en känsla, att något har blivit otroligt "lost in translation" eller man inte publicerat det stora hela.

"We have no intention of terminating them but that does not rule out reviewing the terms," he said.

Först terminerar man kontrakten säger man. Sen att det är öppen för omförhandling. Antingen eller känner jag. Inga gråzoner här.

Vidare läser man:

"There is huge interest from very credible companies," he said

Detta får mig direkt bara att känna att dem har fått andra erbjudanden som kanske är mer intressanta. Något som inte heller verkar stämma med det som påstås ovan detta stycke. Att man kan omförhandla.

Hela artikeln luktar som något dåligt ihopsatt av en längre intervju där man valt ut specifika delar och klippt och klistrat som man känner för.

Jag vill också avsluta med följande från de avtal som är skrivna i Gambia om A1 och A4 licenserna!

Notice of Termination

Before terminating this Licence pursuant to Clause 26.2(a) the Minister of Petroleum shall, by written notice to the Licensee, give not less than thirty (30) days notice (or such longer period not to exceed one hundred and twenty (120) days as may be required to give the Licensee a reasonable opportunity to remedy the relevant breach if that breach is capable of remedy) of his or her intention to terminate this Licence stating in detail the grounds of the intended termination.

26.4 Cure Rights

The Minister of Petroleum shall not terminate this Licence under Clause 26.2(a) if the Licensee remedies or removes the grounds for termination to the reasonable satisfaction of the Minister of Petroleum within the time period specified pursuant to Clause 26.3.

http://www.resourcecontracts.org/con...6/download/pdf

Är det high risk?
Är det mer risk än tidigare?
Är det mindre reward?

Något vi vartfall kan veta med säkerhet är:

Morgondagen blir väldigt intressant!
Citera
2017-07-20, 23:42
  #87
Medlem
Vet inte hur många som följt med vad som skett i det senaste.

1) Reuters släpper en artikel om att APCL inte har kvar sina licenser.

Det är inte fallet eftersom dem inte blivit avslutade på rätt sätt och för den delen, även om dem skulle blivit det har APCL enligt kontraktet en "Cure" period på 120dagar då dem kan borra och ordna upp i allt.

2) Gambia söker legal advice med tanke på kontraktet.

3) APCL och Gambias president hade möte 13jul. Varför gör dem det om licenserna är avslutade?

Se hela artikeln nedan.

Notera särskilt detta:
"The CEO of African Petroleum Jens Pace met President Barrow. The issues are being discussed and when a final decision is taken you will be informed," presidential spokeswoman Amie Bojang said in an emailed response to Reuters.

*Förhandlingar fortskrider.
*Dagens uttalandena från Gambia är motstridiga mot vad de sade i de två föregående artiklarna i Reuters (att Gambia inte samtalar med APCL bl a och att inga möten heller kommer äga rum).
*INGEN termination.

Tolka själva. I mina öron och ögon låter detta inte så dåligt alls. :-)

APCL släpper också HOT med exklusivitet. Någon som jag ser kan gynna APCL väldigt. Då kan dem släppa SOSP för sig själv till farmout i väntan på Gambia.

När A1 och A4 är godkända (vilket hade varit idioti av Gambia om dem vill gå till rätten för att strippa från APCL - vilket med största sannolikhet hade slutat som förra gången. Att APCL Får behållla fem likväl men att det hade tagit otrolig tid innan något företag kunna exploatera fälten!) kan man söka annan partner för dem!

Jag ser detta sista PM väldigt positivt.

Från att Gambia säger att dem har tagit ifrån APCL sina licenser till att dem söker legal advice och nu att Gambia skall återkomma med vidare besked.

Luktar "Done deal" snart enligt mig!

--------------------------

JULY 19, 2017 / 9:25 PM /
Gambia president meets African Petroleum CEO over oil licences
Reuters Staff

DAKAR, July 19 (Reuters) - Gambia's President Adama Barrow has met with African Petroleum's chief executive to discuss the status of its exploration licences, which oil ministry officials previously said had expired, the company and the presidency said on Wednesday.

Uncertainty over the status of two of the most promising licences in West Africa provoked a sharp drop in Oslo-listed African Petroleum's share price earlier this month.

"The CEO of African Petroleum Jens Pace met President Barrow. The issues are being discussed and when a final decision is taken you will be informed," presidential spokeswoman Amie Bojang said in an emailed response to Reuters.

African Petroleum spokesman Ben Romney said the meeting between Barrow and Pace took place on July 13, adding that talks were ongoing.

Barrow's oil ministry officials contend that African Petroleum, originally founded by a Romanian billionaire named Frank Timis who remains a shareholder, did not meet its drilling commitments during an exploration period that ended in September 2016.

Barrow was sworn into office in January after former President Yahya Jammeh, who oversaw the signing of the deal with African Petroleum, fled Gambia amid a political crisis sparked by his refusal to recognise his defeat in an election.

The permanent secretary for petroleum at the oil ministry Mod K. Ceesay also confirmed the meeting between Barrow and Pace but reiterated his earlier position.

"The issue was raised but nothing has changed. They stated their position. We restated our position," he said.

The A1 and A4 offshore blocks are adjacent to blocks in neighbouring Senegal where large discoveries have been made, and African Petroleum estimates they contain over 3 billion barrels of oil.

The company is currently in talks to sell a 70 percent stake in them to an unnamed third party, along with another licence in Senegal. (Reporting by Emma Farge; Editing by Joe Bavier and Jane

---

På detta såklart senare PM:

African Petroleum Corporation Limited ("African Petroleum"
or the "Company") provides the following corporate update
covering its licence interests in The Gambia and Senegal,
West Africa:

Highlights

- Exclusivity Agreement allowed to lapse to enable the
Company to engage with other interested parties for the SOSP
licence in Senegal and to provide flexibility in government
discussions regarding the A1 and A4 licences in The Gambia
- Ongoing discussions with Gambian officials to agree a
forward plan for A1 and A4 licences, including meeting with
President Barrow on 13 July 2017
- The Board of African Petroleum reiterates and maintains
its legal position on the A1 and A4 licences in The Gambia,
and reiterates its willingness to utilise dispute resolution
mechanism provisions if the outcome is unfavourable for the
Company
- The Company expects formal feedback from the Gambian
government in early August 2017
- The Company is confident that the Senegalese authorities
will approve the Company's proposal to extend the SOSP
licence, subject to farming out to a suitable partner

Heads of Terms Agreement

Further to the announcement on 7 June 2017 regarding an
extension to the previously announced Exclusivity Agreement
covering the SOSP licence in Senegal, and the A1 and A4
licences in The Gambia, the Company announces that the
parties have mutually agreed to not extend the Exclusivity
Agreement which expired today.

Due to recent developments whereby the Senegalese
authorities have expressed a willingness to proceed with the
SOSP licence extension upon the Company securing a farm-out,
and the delays being experienced in The Gambia, the
Exclusivity Agreement (which regarded both countries as one
transaction) was viewed as too restrictive, as the Company
could not secure the SOSP licence extension without first
resolving the situation in The Gambia.

Accordingly, the Company considered it to be in the best
interests of the Company to allow the Exclusivity Agreement
to lapse, thereby enabling the Company to enter into
discussions with other interested parties in its SOSP
Licence in Senegal whilst it seeks to resolve the situation
in The Gambia.

The Gambia

Since the announcements in early July 2017 regarding its A1
and A4 licences in The Gambia, the Company has been engaged
in dialogue with Gambian officials with a view to
identifying a solution that is in the best interest of all
stakeholders. The Company confirms that a local
representative for the Company met with the Minister for
Petroleum and Energy and Permanent Secretary on 6 July 2017,
and a delegation from African Petroleum, including the CEO
and CFO, travelled to The Gambia for a meeting with
President Barrow in Banjul on 13 July 2017.

Further to the meeting with the President and subsequent
dialogue, it is the understanding of the management team
that the government is considering the Company's proposal
regarding the licences and it is anticipated that the
Company will receive formal feedback and clarity on the
situation from the government in early August 2017.

The Company has reiterated its firm position over its legal
rights to the A1 and A4 licences in The Gambia and has
communicated to the government that it will utilise the
dispute resolution mechanism provisions of the licences
should the outcome of the government's decision not be
favourable to the Company.

In the meantime, the Company has been approached by other
industry players that are interested to join the Company in
the A1 and A4 licences when the situation with the Gambian
government is resolved.

Senegal

The Senegalese authorities are currently considering the
Company's proposal to extend the SOSP licence for a period
of 18-24 months in order to allow additional time to acquire
3D seismic and to drill an exploration well on the block.

Any such extension is conditional on African Petroleum
bringing in a suitable partner on the licence and to this
end, the management team will commence discussions with a
number of companies who had expressed interest in farming
into SOSP but were restricted from entering into commercial
negotiations as a result of the Exclusivity Agreement that
had been in place since mid-April 2017.

The SOSP licence continues to generate industry interest and
the Company hopes to finalise a standalone farm-out
transaction on the SOSP licence shortly in order to enable
the licence extension to be granted.

African Petroleum continues to reserve its rights on the ROP
licence while it negotiates the SOSP extension.

Commenting on the update, African Petroleum's CEO Jens Pace
said:

"After much consideration, we have decided to allow the
Exclusivity Agreement to lapse as we now have more
flexibility to engage in standalone commercial discussions
on our SOSP licence in Senegal whilst we seek to resolve the
uncertainty over our position in The Gambia.

We have continued to engage with the relevant authorities in
The Gambia and had an audience with the President who is
well informed of the situation and understands the measures
that we will take should we not receive a positive outcome
next month. I think the fact that we were granted an
audience with the President highlights that the significant
investment made by the Company in these licences is
recognised by the Gambian government and we hope that sense
will prevail in finding a way forward.

Our near-term focus will be on seeking a positive resolution
on our position in The Gambia whilst concurrently
formalising an agreement for SOSP licence. We know that
there are a number of interested parties who we expect to
engage with in the coming days now that we are no longer
bound by an exclusivity agreement."




Hoppas ni orkade läsa igenom allt
Citera
2017-07-20, 23:43
  #88
Medlem
Sedan för att lägga till lite annat trevligt som kommit fram på Facebook:


"Hi everyone

A lot has happened the last couple of months in APCL, and it has not been a pleasant journey for the shareholders - however given today's situation I wanted to try to look at the case again with "fresh eyes".

...

APCL MCAP: 382 MNOK

Liquid Funds
(interpreted from Telco borrowed from AoF calculation):
+ 258 MNOK raised last capital placement
- (104 MNOK CI-513 drilling*70%) = 73 MNOK
- License fees paid = 30 MNOK
- Seimsic Fees = 34 MNOK
- Placement Fee costs = 16 MNOK

Sum: (258-73-30-34-16) = Roughly 105 MNOK

...

Licenses Legal Overview (Main Licenses):
- CI 513 Cote D'Ivory
Requirement: One Exploration well - completed - Expiration phase: March 2018

- A1 & A4 Gambia
Requirement: One Exploration well on either A1 or A4 - not completed, deal proposed (HoT), in negotiation - Expiration current phase Sept. 2016 (End license September 2019 ref. annual report p. 51 note 11)

- ROP Senegal
Requirement: One Exploration well - Not completed - Expiration current phase Oct. 2015 - No valid termination given to date)

- SOSP Senegal
Requirement: Further Geoscience & one exploration well - Not completed (proposed in HoT) - End current phase Oct. 2017.

Other Licenses:
- CI 509 Cote D'Ivory
- SL-03 Sierra Leone
- SL-4A-10 Sierra Leone

...

Clarrifications & items of Note

- FAN South 1 (Neighbouring A1 on FAN structure, operated by FAR & Cairn going in over A1), confirmed Oil find on drilling earlier this month. (Oil confirmed both on shelf edge prospects (SNE) and fan structures (FAN-south 1) on neighbour license)

- HoT Exclusivity agreement lapsed as of 200717, after much consideration, with the intent to:
"enable the Company to engage with other interested parties for the SOSP" &
"provide flexibility in government discussions regarding the A1 and A4 licences in The Gambia"

- SOSP:
"Senegalese authorities have expressed a willingness to proceed with the
SOSP licence extension upon the Company securing a farm-out...
The SOSP licence continues to generate industry interest and
the Company hopes to finalise a standalone farm-out
transaction on the SOSP licence shortly in order to enable."
the licence extension to be granted.

- A1 & A4:
"It is anticipated that the Company will receive formal feedback and clarity on the situation from the government in early August 2017"

"The Company has reiterated its firm position over its legal
rights to the A1 and A4 licences in The Gambia and has
communicated to the government that it will utilise the
dispute resolution mechanism provisions of the licences
should the outcome of the governments decision not be
favourable to the Company.

In the meantime, the Company has been approached by other
industry players that are interested to join the Company in
the A1 and A4 licences when the situation with the Gambian
government is resolved."

...

Case Scenarios:
Normal:
- New LOI on SOSP (ROP traded in in process) (0-2 months)
- Extension Senegal +/- 1 month
- Final Agreement = 0-3 Months

Value of SOSP deal info:
- Identified Prospect on SOSP: Jaloo
- Mirabaud Analysis assigns
--> Risked value of prospect (at 16% Interest - current ownership is 90%) to 7,69 NOK/ Share
--> Unrisked value of prospect to 42,43 NOK/share

(Company shares increased with ca. 28% since estimates)

...

(Ble litt rotete dette, men har nå brukt litt tid på å finne info, så poster det likevel - håpet er at denne tråden kan bli brukt til å belyse caset objektivt)"




----
Citera
2017-07-20, 23:49
  #89
Medlem
Vill man ha en riklig genomgång om den senaste månaden och allt som skett checka denna från hegnar.no

http://forum.hegnar.no/thread.asp?id=2397062

Se så alla svar syns på en sida, ta en kaffe och sätt av en 30min!

Citera
2019-01-31, 21:19
  #90
Medlem
Sugen på köpa in mig i denna, vad tycker ni på forumet allmänt om bolaget?
Citera
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